Pacers Undervalued (Again) in Potential Playoff Clincher vs. Heat

new pacers

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, March 25, 2018 4:51 AM GMT

Sunday, Mar. 25, 2018 4:51 AM GMT

Indiana needs one more win to clinch a playoff berth, and they should get it today when they host Miami. But besides beating the Heat, are the Pacers a good bet to beat the number?

Sunday NBA: Heat vs. PacersFree NBA Pick: Pacers -3½Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Making the playoffs this season would mean a lot to the city of Indianapolis. After the way Paul George basically demanded to be traded, most people wrote them off. The Indiana Pacers were a lock to be in the draft lottery, and the return they got back in the trade was pennies on the dollar.

It has been anything but that in 2017-18. Indiana ranks 12th in both offensive and defensive efficiency this season; the four other teams who rank inside those parameters are the Warriors, Raptors, Rockets, and Thunder. Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis, who were acquired from the Thunder in the George trade, have been more than enough for the Pacers.

Indiana has been undervalued all season and that is the case against today. The Miami Heat will be without their best player in Hassan Whiteside again, yet the Pacers, at almost full strength, are only -3½ home favorites on the NBA odds board.

Even if Sabonis misses another game off the bench, this Indiana team will frustrate Miami’s wings. Without Whiteside on the court, Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young will be able to do a lot more on offense around the rim.

Since the All-Star break, Indiana is 5-2 ATS at home and have outscored opponents at a combined +34 in those seven games, despite getting blown out by 20 in one of them.

The last time Indiana played Miami at home, in January, they lost. However, as you can see from this video, Whiteside played in that game and Turner did not:

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With the Pacers allowing just 102.4 points per 100 possessions since the break at home, and giving up less than that in their seven home games since then, look for Indiana to get the win, the cover and a playoff spot with your NBA picks.

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