Pacers Live Dogs Against Free-Falling Cavs

pacers cavs

Swinging Johnson

Friday, January 26, 2018 12:41 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 26, 2018 12:41 PM UTC

The Indiana Pacers travel to Cleveland to meet the slumping Cavaliers on Friday night. Below we analyze the historical trends, matchups and the NBA odds with a view towards cashing a winner.

Pacers (26-22 SU, 27-21 ATS) vs. Cavaliers (27-19 SU, 12-33-1 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Pacers +6Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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  • Cleveland is 0-4 ATS in their last four Friday games.
  • Cleveland is 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS loss.
  • Cleveland is 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Indiana is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Indiana is 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one day's rest.
  • Indiana is 6-1 ATS vs. Cavaliers over their last seven meetings in Cleveland.

Here's an interesting stat: The Cavaliers are 6-1 straight up vs. the Pacers in their last seven games played in Cleveland. However, Indiana is 6-1 against the spread in those same seven. Numbers mean everything, and tonight is no different. The NBA odds are reflecting the Cavaliers as high as 6-point betting favorites over the Pacers despite the Cavs' recent free-fall, dropping six of their last seven straight up and failing to cover the number in a staggering 14 of their last 15 games! Wow.

Indiana last played Wednesday when it eclipsed the Suns 116-101 as 6½-point home favorites. Indiana shooting guard Victor Oladipo notched 21 points while adding nine assists, four boards and three steals in 33 minutes of play in the win. Oladipo is the straw that stirs the drink for Indiana as the 25-year-old All-Star out of the University of Indiana is averaging 21.6 points, 5.0 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 2.5 steals in the 10 games he's played since returning from a knee injury.

LeBron James became just the seventh player in NBA history to score 30,000 points with the 28 he had Tuesday in the team's 114-102 loss to San Antonio. The Cavs have allowed 100 or more points in their last four games, and head coach Tyronn Lue is talking about a change to his starting lineup in tonight's contest (Tristan Thompson in, Jae Crowder out). Cleveland is 26th in the league in points allowed, surrendering 109.6 PPG, but is on the other end of the spectrum in scoring (5th), averaging a nearly identical 109.5 points per game.

There is a part of me that says the Cavaliers have to cover the number eventually. I'm glad we didn't rely on that theory a few days before Christmas when Cleveland's ATS futility began, because had we been blindly backing Cleveland in our NBA picks since that time needless to say our bankroll would be empty after watching the Cavs flame 14 out of their last 15 attempts.

The Pacers always seem to cash in Cleveland, and they have looked sharp in their last two contests while the Cavs have been quarreling among themselves; whether it be concerns about bench players deserving to start or Kevin Love walking out on a loss and missing practice the following day. There's not much team chemistry on Cleveland right now, and we believe that Indiana can do more than stick around in this one. Back the Pacers and watch them cover the number and perhaps even pull the upset.

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