Pacers-Hawks Game has Familiar Feel, so Picking 'Over' Makes Sense

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, February 28, 2018 4:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2018 4:13 PM UTC

Indiana dominated Atlanta last week and the teams face off again tonight. With the Pacers coming off a bad loss to Dallas, can we expect a bounce-back performance?

Wednesday NBA: Pacers vs. HawksFree NBA Pick: Over 213Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Indiana has a tough stretch, with 60 percent of their remaining games on the road and more than half of them against quality opponents. Therefore, after losing on Monday to a lottery team, you’d think the Pacers will get back on track tonight in a very winnable game.

These two teams met last week and the Pacers put up 116 points at home. It could be more of the same tonight in Atlanta.

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However, Indiana has struggled some on the road this season, but that doesn’t mean they still won’t score plenty. They'll also give up some points, which is why we're focusing on the total on tonight's NBA odds board. Indiana is allowing an average of 106.4 points per game on the road, and they have given up more than 110 points per game in their last five road games.

The Hawks are nothing special on offense, but they have been able to consistently get into the 100s against poor defenses. Indiana ranks 19th in road defensive rating over the past month, according to NBA Stats. While Atlanta isn’t going to drop 110 points tonight, if we can get that much from Indiana, we should have enough from the Hawks at home to cash the "over" with our NBA picks.

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