Offensive Trends Make 'Under' The Sharp NBA Pick In Clippers vs. Trail Blazers

Mark Lathrop

Wednesday, January 6, 2016 3:46 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2016 3:46 PM UTC

These two teams have already met twice this season. Can we learn anything from those matchups to make the right NBA Pick? Don't miss our preview and make big bucks tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 205½
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Los Angeles Clippers
After completing the first 5-0 road trip their franchise’s history, the 22-13 Los Angeles Clippers had a one-game home stand over the New Year’s weekend before heading on the road again to face the 15-22 Portland Trailblazers for one of Wednesday night's matchups. That lone home game was against the Philadelphia 76ers though, so more like an extended weekend off. Now on a six game winning streak, the Clippers find themselves favored on the road at Portland by 4 points across the NBA odds board. The O/U total is currently listed at 205.5 at multiple sportsbooks.

The Clippers home break was a blowout, as they beat the 76ers 130-99 in impressive fashion. I guess beating the 76ers isn’t something to brag about right now, but the Clippers have found a way to get stronger without the presence of Blake Griffin. Griffin tore his left quad on December 26th and has been out of the lineup ever since. All the Clippers have done is go 4-0 SU and ATS since then.

Chris Paul has stepped up in a big way and has found a way to get DeAndre Jordan involved in the offense much like Blake Griffin was. Paul had 14 assists in the game against Philly and was one of the reasons that DeAndre Jordan was 9-10 from the floor. Jordan was basically dunking the ball all evening so pretty hard to miss much. Austin Rivers also came off the bench to provide a season high 26 points in the matchup.

J.J. Redick went 4-5 from 3-point land in that game, which brought his season long 3-point percentage at 49.1%. This mark would be the highest of his career and second in the NBA only behind Kawhi Leonard of the San Antonio Spurs who is at 50%.


Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is coming off of a 91-79 loss at home to the 19-17 Memphis Grizzlies in a game that saw the return of injured guard, Damian Lillard. They didn’t take it easy on him either, as Lillard logged 35:45 minutes. He showed his rust too, going 2-10 from the 3-point stripe and 4-14 from the field. If there was any good news it was that Lillard was 7-7 from the charity stripe, so he was able to score 17 points in the game to make up somewhat for his seven turnovers.

Portland is 2-9 SU this year in the second game of a back-to-back, so good job to those bettors that jumped on the chance to take Memphis as only a 1.5-point favorite. They’ll have an extra day of rest before this game with the Clippers, however.

The last matchup in this series came in late November, with the Clippers beating Portland 102-87 as a seven-point home favorite. That game easily went under the listed total of 206. That game was just ten days after the first matchup of the season, a 102-91 Portland win as a 4.5-point favorite at home. In both of those games Blake Griffin led the way for the Clippers, scoring 21 points and 23 points, respectively.

With Blake Griffin out for this iteration of the matchup, I think that the offensive trend between these two teams will continue. Both games this year have played well under the listed totals – 17 points each to be exact. I’m going to ride that trend again and take Under 205.5 at Heritage as one of my Wednesday NBA picks.

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