Fast Break Betting: Will The Super-High Scores Continue on Wednesday?

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, October 24, 2018 1:54 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 24, 2018 1:54 PM UTC

Over Half Of Wednesday’s Games Have Totals of 226 Points or Higher, And Some Have Moved Five Points Higher Since Opening

Welcome to another big night of NBA regular season action! It’s time for another huge slate of NBA betting and there are still several bits of news and injuries you need to be aware of before placing your bets!

Since the season started we have seen scores that rival some All Star Games. This trend will ultimately correct itself as the season grows longer and teams have a chance to scout one another. However, with all the overs cashing, can we expect more of the same on this 11-game slate?

All Star Scoring Leads To Big Total Movement

There has been plenty written about the offensive boom in the NBA this season and how books are struggling to correct lines. Take for instance today’s games between the Mavs and Hawks, as well as the Nets and Cavaliers. Both totals have shot up between five and six and a half points since they opened, and with the lack of defense being played right now, there is no telling when this will all end.

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You’ve all noticed NBA scoring is way up. But overs are also crushing this season. I looked at the trends and @PJWalsh24 got perspective from some bookmakers on how the Under Struggle is Real. https://t.co/FTty7uuFgG

— Hardwood Paroxysm (@HPbasketball) October 23, 2018
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Since this article above was written, the over is now 33-18 on the season. We have also seen average scores increase across the board, but this is a trend that has been happening for a while now.

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The NBA's scoring boom is reaching new heights during the first week of the 2018-19 season.
-- Average score = 112.9 PPG
-- Up 6+ PPG from 2017-8
-- Up 12+ PPG from 2014-15
-- up 16+ PPG from 2011-12
-- Up 21+ PPG from 1998-99
-- First time over 110 PPG since 1985-86 pic.twitter.com/FMN35CmuCH

— Ben Golliver (@BenGolliver) October 23, 2018
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With big men now stretching the floor and drawing defensive-minded bigs away from the basket, the NBA is now more like the international game than ever before. The floor has tons of spacing and room to drive to the basket. Add in the new rule on the shot clock resetting to 14 seconds after an offensive rebound, and there has never before been as much potential for offense.

There will be some correction, both from the teams and the sportsbooks themselves, so don’t expect this over trend to last forever. However, for certain teams with little defense, a really fast pace, and some shooting, riding the over on those matchups may still be profitable for a few more games.

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Andrew Wiggins’ And Ben Simmons’ Health

Ben Simmons missed the Sixers’ loss on Tuesday night and there has been no word on whether he’ll be able to return for Wednesday’s game. He was doubtful heading in to Tuesday night, so if he misses shootaround on Wednesday, the chances of him playing seem pretty thin.

Andrew Wiggins left the Wolves’ Monday game with a quad contusion, and he could not finish the game. He is being listed as questionable on Wednesday against the Raptors, and with how dysfunctional the Wolves have been, missing Wiggins could end up hurting Minnesota in their battle with the Raptors.

Even if Wiggins plays, the Raptors are going to be tough to beat. However, Wiggins is of course from Canada, and he will probably try his best to be able to play in his team’s only trip to his hometown.

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Fully expect Andrew Wiggins to be ready for tomorrow night. He won't want to miss his only trip back home. If that happens, will be interesting to see how Okogie's minutes shake out. He earned a look last night.

— Jon Krawczynski (@JonKrawczynski) October 23, 2018
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Wednesday NBA Betting Trends
  • The OVER is 5-2 over the last 7 meetings between the Nets and Cavaliers
  • The Hawks are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Mavericks
  • The Knicks are 5-2 ATS over their last 7 games against the Heat
  • The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 games between the Wolves and Raptors
  • The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the Hornets and Bulls
  • The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 games between the Jazz and Rockets
  • The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Spurs
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 games between the Grizzlies and Kings
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