O/U NBA Picks: Two Value Plays On Low Side Of The Total

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, April 9, 2016 5:46 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 9, 2016 5:46 PM UTC

Our handicapping professional shares his top two totals on Saturday’s card. Go inside before making any of your NBA picks today, and profit from this compelling betting preview.

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies 8:05 PM ET
These teams have met twice this season, both games went under the total, and there was just a combined 186.0 points scored per contest. Memphis was anemic offensively during those encounters, scoring a pathetic 76.5 points per game, shooting a horrific 30.1%, and converted on only 15.8% of their three point attempts.

The high flying Warriors have seen each of their previous three away games go under the total. Those contests stayed below the number by a substantial 25.3 points per game. Current NBA odds at Ladbrokes has the Warriors as a 13.0 point favorite in this matchup. Golden State has seen each of their previous five games this season go under the total as a road favorite of 11.0 or more. Those contests stayed under the number by an average of 11.3 points per game.

This total is extremely low for a game involving Golden State. Trust me when I tell you, sportsbooks aren’t congenial or generous. Public action certainly will side with this contest playing on the high side of the number. I’m going the opposite way when making one of my Saturday NBA picks.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 211.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls 8:35 PM ET
All three games played between these NBA Central Division rivals this have gone under the total. There was just a combined 190.7 points scored per contest, and those outings went under the number by an average of 11.2 points per game. As a matter of fact, dating back to the 2015 NBA Playoffs, the last three times these teams have met at the United Center in Chicago, each game stayed under the total, and did so by a sizable average of 18.3 points per outing.

Chicago has seen each of their previous nine games overall stay under the total. They scored 98 points or less on six of those occasions, and there were a combined 204 points or less scored during all nine games.

Cleveland is 8-1 under the total on the road this season when there’s a total 200.0 to 206.0. Those nine contests averaged a combined 189.0 points scored per game.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 205.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 

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