O/U NBA Picks: Two Red-Hot Selections For Wednesday

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 6:50 PM GMT

Our NBA handicapping professional has gone an outstanding 7-3 (70%) with his totals picks during the past four days. Go inside to read about two more of his winners for Wednesday.

Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies 8:05 PM ET
Sacramento has gone 11-2 over the total during its previous thirteen games, and that includes doing so in each of their last seven road contests. Those seven road games averaged a combined 231.3 points scored per contest. Sacramento has allowed 107 points or more in thirteen of their previous fourteen, and has done so on seven straight occasions heading into today. The Kings have also scored 107 or more in five of its last six and nine of their previous twelve games. During their previous five games, Sacramento has converted on a stellar 40.0% of its three point attempts, and averaged a lofty 89 field goal attempts per outing.

Memphis has gone 11-1 over the total in their previous twelve home games, and that includes each of its last five at the FedEx Forum. Those last five home tilts averaged a combined 228.0 points scored per game. It’s worth noting, Memphis has averaged a lofty 31 free throw attempts per outing, and has also allowed 31 per contest during over its last five games.

This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. One of my Wednesday NBA picks supports that notion.

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NBA Pick: Over 214 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs 8:05 PM ET
Both of these teams have been very efficient offensively during their previous five games. During those five contests, Detroit has averaged 105.8 points scored per game, made a stellar 39.6% of their three point attempts, and averaged a sizable 28 free throw attempts per contest. San Antonio averaged 109.0 points per game during its last five, shot 51.8% from the field, and converted on an excellent 48.8% of its three point attempts.

San Antonio is coming off three straight wins by 10 points or more. The Spurs are allowing 92.5 points per game this season. Detroit is allowing an average of 100.5 points per contest on the season. This game qualifies for an extremely profitable NBA handicapping algorithm which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Spurs) playing after game 41 of the season, with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, and is allowing an average of 92.0 to 98.0 points per game, versus an opponent (Pistons) which allows 98.0 to 102.0 points per contest, resulted in those games going 32-7 (82.1%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 39 contests was 204.2, and there was a combined average of 215.1 points scored per game.

Current NBA odds at 5Dimes provides me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

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NBA Pick: Over 201.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes