O/U NBA Picks: A Trio Of Winners To Fatten The Wallet

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, January 19, 2016 6:03 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2016 6:03 PM GMT

NBA handicapping professional shares his three top totals on Tuesday’s card. Go inside to find out what those NBA picks are, and why he’s opted to wager on them.

Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks 7:35 PM ET
Milwaukee has played at a snail’s pace during their last three road games, averaging a meager 74.7 field goal attempts per contest. The Bucks have been adept at getting to the free throw line over its past five games, averaging 31 attempts per contest. However, they’ll be facing an opponent (Miami) tonight that’s allowing an average of just 18 free throw attempts per game during its last five outings.

Miami is averaging a paltry 89.6 point scored per game in their previous five contests. The Heat won’t mind the slow tempo that Milwaukee has chosen to play in recent road games, and it’s probably a style they prefer based on its season performance line. Miami has gone 27-14 (65.9%) under the total this season, and those contests averaged only a combined 191.9 points scored per game.

Current NBA odds provide me with a best combination of number and price for this exact wager.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883085, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NBA Pick: Under 193
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans 8:05 PM ET
Minnesota has averaged just 77.1 field goal attempts per game over its previous eight contests, and that’s well below NBA standards. They’ve also scored less than 100 points in thirteen of their last fifteen games.

New Orleans has gone 12-6 under the total in their last eighteen games overall, and that includes 3-1 in its previous four at home.

The Timberwolves average 99.0 points scored per contest, and are coming off a 117-87 win over Phoenix in its previous game. New Orleans is allowing a lofty 105.4 points per game this season. The combination of these three pieces of data qualifies for an extremely profitable NBA handicapping algorithm. Any road team (Minnesota) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, averaging 98.0 to 102.0 points per game, and scored 110 points or more during its previous contest, versus an opponent (New Orleans) allowing 102.0 or more points per outing, resulted in those games going 66-31 (68%) under the total since 1996.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883086, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

NBA Pick: Under 203
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Indiana Pacers vs. Phoenix Suns 9:05 PM ET
Indiana has gone 4-1 over the total in their last five games, and there was a combined average of 219.4 points scored per contest. They met Phoenix once already this season, came away with a 116-97 home win, and that game easily went over the total of 205.0.

Phoenix has also gone 4-1 over the total in its last five games. During that stretch, the Suns allowed 211.0 points per contest and opponents shot a red-hot 48.5% from the floor, in addition to converting on a robust 41.5% of their three point attempts. As a matter of fact, Phoenix has allowed 116 points or more in each of their previous three games.

I like this game to be a high scoring affair, and one of my Tuesday NBA picks will be reflective of that prediction.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883088, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

NBA Pick: Over 208.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

comment here