O/U NBA Picks: A Thursday Pair That Beats Any “Three Of A Kind”

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, April 21, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

Our handicapping professional shares his top two totals on Thursday’s card. Don’t make a move without first reading this compelling NBA betting preview.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks 7:05 PM ET
Each of the first two games of this series stayed under the total, and there was only a combined 173.5 points scored per game. Dallas shot a miserable 36.3% during those contests, and Oklahoma City wasn’t much better at 39.4%.

Speaking of Oklahoma City, they’ve actually stayed under the total in each of its last four outings. During that stretch, they’ve allowed opponents to score just 84.0 points per game, and held its opponents to a meager 35.9% shooting. On a negative note, Oklahoma City shot a terrible 40.6%, and converted on a dismal 28.7% of their three point attempts in those last four games.

After sustaining a humiliating 108-70 defeat during the opening game of this series, Dallas bounced back with an 85-84 upset win in Game 2. They’ve gone 12-2 under the total this season, following a straight up win as an underdog. Dallas is 9-2 under the total during their previous eleven contests overall, and there were a combined average of only 181.2 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they allowed 98 points or less on ten of those eleven occasions. The flip side to that equation wasn’t nearly as rosy. Dallas has scored 91 points or less during six of their last eight games.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my Thursday NBA picks will follow suit.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011086, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: Under 197.5
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

 

Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers 7:35 PM ET
Toronto has been stout defensively over its last ten outings. During that time, they allowed just 95.0 points per game, and held its opponent to a paltry 41.9% shooting. Toronto has seen their last six road games stay under the total when facing an Eastern Conference opponent, and there was a combined 187.6 points scored per contest. Toronto has shot a horrible 36.5% during their two games played at Indiana this season.

Indiana has gone 9-3 under the total in its previous twelve games at home. They’ve also seen each of its last four games overall stay under the total, and there was 189.0 points scored per contest. The Pacers will be going against a Toronto team on Thursday which averages only 12 turnovers committed per game. Indiana is 28-13 (68.3%) under the total this season when facing an opponent which averages committing 14 turnovers or less per contest.

The first two games of this Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series have been played at an extremely slow pace. Toronto averaged only 79.5 field goal attempts per contest, and Indiana a substantially less 74.5. Both contests lacked any type of consistent offensive flow due to the physicality exhibited by each team. There was a massive 122 free throws combined in Games 1 and 2. Despite the team’s converting on 77.9% of those attempts, both games stayed under.

Current NBA odds at Matchbook.com displays a best combination of number and price for this totals wager.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011070, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: Under 193.5
Best Line Offered: at Bovada