O/U NBA Picks: Three Blockbuster Bets To Keep Your Pockets Padded

Ross Benjamin

Friday, February 5, 2016 7:02 PM GMT

Friday, Feb. 5, 2016 7:02 PM GMT

Our NBA analyst shares his two top totals on Thursday’s card. Go inside to find out what those NBA picks are, and why he’s chosen to wager on them.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Utah Jazz 9:05 PM ET
Milwaukee has scored less than 100 points in five of their previous six games. They’re converting on a horrible 28.0% of its three point attempts over the last five games. That’s certainly not good news for Milwaukee, and especially considering Utah has held opponents to a paltry 29.2% from beyond the three point line over their previous five contests. Milwaukee is allowing 103.3 points per game this season, and I’ll get to the significance of that number shortly.

Utah has allowed 96 points or less in each of their previous six games. As a matter of fact, opponents of Utah have averaged only 86.8 points scored per game during those last six contests. The Jazz have enjoyed their offensive moments in recent outings. However, they’re still averaging just 97.6 points scored per game this season. Utah is coming off an 85-81 home win over Denver in its last outing.

Any team (Utah) with a total of 180.0 to 189.5, averaging between 92.0 to 98.0 points scored per game, and they scored 85 points or less in their previous contest, versus an opponent (Milwaukee) allowing 102.0 or more points per game, resulted in those contests going 30-8 (78.9%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those 38 contests was 186.4, and there were a combined average of just 179.6 points scored per game.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 189.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Chicago vs. Denver 9:05 PM ET
Chicago has gone 18-7 (72%) over the total in its last 25 games. That also includes going 10-2 over the total during their previous twelve away games. Despite some recent shooting struggles, Chicago continues to play an accelerated offensive pace, averaging a lofty 91.3 field goal attempts per contests during its previous eight outings.

Denver has gone 7-1 over the total in their last eight home games. The Nuggets are coming off a 85-81 loss at Utah in their previous contest. That was the first time in eleven games in which Denver failed to score 101 points or more. We must keep in mind, Utah is adept at slowing the pace of game down to a snail’s pace, and especially so when playing at home. They certainly won’t encounter that this evening against Chicago.

Relative to the current total, I like this game to be a high scoring affair, and one of my NBA picks on Friday will follow suit.

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Free NBA Pick: Over 205
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks 9:35 PM ET
Since the beginning of the 2014-2015 NBA campaign, all six meetings between these Southwest Division rivals have gone under the total. They’ve met twice this season, and those contests averaged just a combined 183.0 points scored per game. Dallas was especially anemic offensively in those two contests, scoring 83 points on both occasions, and shot a terrible 38.4% from the field. It’s also worth noting, the teams combined to convert on a combined 26.9% (25-93) of their three point attempts.

Dallas has scored 97 points or less during its last four, and in five of their previous six games. They’ve seen each of their previous three home games stay under the total, and there was a combined average of only 174.0 points scored per contest.

San Antonio is unequivocally #1 in the NBA in points allowed, holding opponents to meager 91.3 points per contest. As a matter of fact, they’ve surrendered less than 100 points in 41 of 49 games (83.7%) this season.

Current NBA odds at Heritage provides me with a best combination of number and price for this specific NBA pick.

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Free NBA Pick: Under 197
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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