O/U NBA Picks: Play & Win With Our Sharp Total Selections

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, November 21, 2015 4:11 PM GMT

Our professional NBA handicapper is at it again on Saturday with his two best NBA picks. Go inside to find out what those totals selections are and why.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers 7:05 PM ET
Milwaukee has gone over the total in their previous four, and there was a combined average of 208.5 points scored per game. The Bucks shot a very good 47.2% from the field during that stretch. On a negative note, they’ve allowed opponents to convert on a sizzling hot 54.6% of their field goal attempts during its last two games. Milwaukee is making a stellar 37.3% of their three point attempts this season.

The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.5% from beyond the three point line this season, and they’re allowing opponents to be successful on only 31.3% of their long distance tries.

Both teams enter today each averaging 15 turnovers committed per game. Any road team (Bucks) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, converting on 36.5% or better of their three point attempts, versus an opponent (Pacers) that has a three point defensive field goal percentage of 33.0% or less, and each team is averaging 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers committed per contest, resulted in those games going 25-6 (80.6%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 31 contests was 193.9, and there was a combined average of 204.9 points scored per game.

According to NBA odds at Pinnacle, they provide me with the best number for this exact wager.

NBA Pick: Over 193.5 at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2882650, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat 8:05 PM ET
Philadelphia is coming off losses of 112-85 to Indiana, and 113-88 against Charlotte in their previous two games. The 76ers are allowing 104.8 points per game this season, and that’s certainly been a major contributing cause to their 0-13 record. Philadelphia is 3-1 over the total in the last four and 6-3 during their previous nine games.

Miami entered their previous game against Sacramento having gone under the total nine consecutive times. That streak came to an end in a 116-109 home win which easily surpassed the total of 203.0.

Any road team (Philadelphia) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 points or more, and is facing an opponent (Miami) coming off a game in which there was a combined 225 points or more scored, resulted in those contests going 57-22 (72.2%) over the total since 1996. Those 79 contests averaged a combined 200.6 points scored per game.

Despite Philadelphia’s dismal offensive numbers, and how good Miami has been defensively this season, I like this game to be a high scoring affair. One of my NBA picks on Saturday will emulate that prediction.

NBA Pick: Over 191.5 at WillHill

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2882652, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]