O/U NBA Picks: Play to Win With Our 2 'Under' Selections

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, December 3, 2015 5:24 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 3, 2015 5:24 PM UTC

Our NBA consultant shares his two top totals picks on Thursday’s card. Go inside to find out what those picks are and why he’s opted for them.

Denver Nuggets vs. Toronto Raptors 7:35 PM ET
Denver has gone under the total in each of their previous four games. Those contests averaged a combined 174.8 points scored per game. During their last five outings, Denver is averaging a paltry 83.2 points per game, and is shooting a dismal 39.2% from the field.

Toronto has gone 7-3 under the total during its previous ten games. The Raptors have allowed less than 100 points in six of their last seven contests. During its previous five games, Toronto is allowing just 90.8 points per outing, and has held opponents to a mere 39.1% shooting from the field.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair. One of my NBA picks on Thursday will emulate that prediction.

NBA Pick: Under 192 at Pinnacle

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies 9:35 PM ET
San Antonio is the clear NBA leader in scoring defense. The Spurs are allowing 88.8 points per game, and that’s 3.7 points better than Miami who is second in that category. They’ve gone 7-1 under in the total in their last eight, and 9-2 during its previous eleven games. The Spurs have allowed a diminutive 82.7 points per game during their last seven contests.

Memphis has done a terrific job recently of limiting the offensive possessions by their opponents. The Grizzlies have held opponents to an average of just 75.3 field goal attempts per contest during its previous seven games. Memphis is far from a dynamic offensive team. They’re shooting just 42.7% from the field, and have converted on only 31.5% of their three point attempts this season. As a matter of fact, 22.7% of their points this season have come from the free throw line. They’ve converted on a stellar 84% of their free throw attempts, and average 22 made free throws per game. That will be an issue tonight against San Antonio. The Spurs are allowing opponents just an average of 17 free throw attempts per contest. In their only other meeting versus San Antonio this season, Memphis was able to get to the free throw line only 17 times, and that’s well below their average of 26 per game.

According to current NBA odds, they clearly provide me with the best number for this specific wager.

NBA Pick: Under 183.5 at Heritage

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