O/U NBA Picks: A Pair of Absolute Gems to Cash on Tuesday’s Card

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

Our handicapper shares his top two totals on Tuesday’s card. Come inside before making any of your NBA picks today, and profit from this insightful betting preview.

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons
Miami has scored 103 points or more in each of their previous fourteen games versus Eastern Conference opponents. During that stretch, Miami averaged 111.4 points scored per outing, shot a sizzling hot 50.6%, and converted on an impressive 41.8% of their three point attempts.

The Heat is 5-0 over the total in its previous five conference road games, and there was a combined 217.4 points scored per contest.

Detroit has gone 7-1 over the total during its previous eight conference home games. During those contests, they averaged 109.0 points scored per game, and shot a very respectable 47.2%.

I like this game to be a high scoring affair, and one of my NBA picks will concur with that prediction.

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NBA Pick:  Over 200 -105 
Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Memphis Grizzlies vs. LA Clippers
Memphis has been adept at slowing down the pace of their opponents recently. During the Grizzlies previous thirteen games, Memphis opponents averaged only 75.2 field goal attempts per game. They’ll be facing a Clippers team tonight which has averaged just 80.2 field goal attempts per game during its last six games. Based on those statistical facts, there’s a good chance that Memphis will limit the amount of Clippers offensive possessions on Tuesday.

The Clippers have been stout defensively during their last twelve games. In that period of time, they allowed a mere 93.3 points per game, and held its opponents to a combined 39.8% shooting. Los Angeles is 29-11 (72.3%) under the total during their home games this season. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone under the number in seven straight conference home games, allowing a paltry 89.3 points per contest, and held opponents to a miserable 37.7% shooting.

Memphis is a combined +28.0 points ATS during their last three games. The Clippers have are +48.0 points ATS in its last seven outings. Current NBA odds at Island Casino indicates there’s total of 197.5 in this contest. The combination of these three aforementioned facts provides me with a very profitable NBA totals algorithm.

Any team (Memphis) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, covering their past three games by 24.0 or more, versus an opponent covering its previous seven contests by 48.0 or more, resulted in those games going 50-22 (69.4%) under the total since 1996. There was a combined average of 189.9 points scored per game during those seventy-two contests.

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NBA Pick:  Under 197½ -105
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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