O/U NBA Picks: A Killer Pair of Cash Cows on Saturday’s Card

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, February 20, 2016 6:34 PM GMT

Saturday, Feb. 20, 2016 6:34 PM GMT

Our NBA analyst shares his two top totals for Friday’s card. Go inside to find out what those NBA picks are, and why he’s opted to bet on them. Let’s follow Friday’s 2-0 with another 2-0 sweep today!

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat 7:35 PM ET
Washington has gone under the total in each of their previous three games. The Wizards have made a concerted effort to be focused defensively in those contests. During that time frame, they’ve allowed an average of just 91.3 points per game, and held opponents to just 42.3% shooting.

Miami is coming off a 115-111 win as a 10.5 point road underdog versus Southeast Division rival Atlanta last night. They’ve gone 21-4 under the total during the past two seasons following a game in which there was a combined 205 or more points scored. Those 25 contests averaged only a combined 189.1 points scored per game. Miami has gone 35-19 (64.8%) under the total this season.

Current NBA odds at Pinnacle have a posted total of 198.5 on this contest. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting algorithm. Any home team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, coming off a win versus a divisional opponent as an underdog of 6.0 or more, resulted in those games going 24-5 (82.8%) under the total during the last five seasons.

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NBA Picks: Under 200
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

New York Knicks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves 8:05 PM ET
Minnesota has gone over the total in six straight games and in ten of its last eleven. They’ve scored and allowed 102 points or more in each of their previous six contests. During its last five outings, Minnesota is averaging 33 free throw attempts per game, and has converted on an excellent 86.8% of those tries. As a matter of fact, they were a perfect 31-31 in last night’s 109-104 loss at Memphis, and also connected on eleven three point shots.

New York has gone over the total in each of its last two, and there was a combined average of 213.0 points scored per game. The Knicks play defensively has been a bit shoddy of late. During their previous five games, New York allowed opponents to shoot a combined 47.2%, and convert on a sizzling hot 42.4% of its three point attempts. During that exact time frame, they also are allowing opponents 26 free throw attempts per game. Considering Minnesota’s free throw shooting prowess of late, it would appear to be potentially a huge issue for New York this evening.

Relative to the current total, I like this game to be a high scoring affair. One of my Saturday NBA picks will emulate that exact notion.

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NBA Picks: Over 207
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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