O/U NBA Picks: Handicapping Top Totals in Saturday's Card

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, November 14, 2015 7:12 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 14, 2015 7:12 PM GMT

Our NBA handicapping professional shares his top three totals picks on Saturday’s card. Go inside to find out what those picks are, and exactly why he likes each one of them.

Dallas vs. Houston 8:05 PM ET
Dallas is coming off a 90-82 home win against the Lakers in their previous game. The Mavericks are averaging 100.8 points per game this season, and Houston is at 101.8 for the year.

Any road team (Dallas) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off a game in which there was a combined 175 points or less scored, and both teams average from 98.0 to 102.0 points per game on the season, resulted in those games going 35-12 (74.5%) over the total since 1996.

NBA Pick: Play on Over the total of 208.0 (-110) at Bookmaker.

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Cleveland vs. Milwaukee 8:35 PM ET
Milwaukee is coming off a game at Denver in which they scored 64 points in the first half. The Cleveland Cavaliers enter Saturday’s game with an impressive +8.4 point per game differential.

Any road team (Cleveland) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, and they possess a point per game differential of +6.0 or better, versus an opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half of their previous game, resulted in those games going 55-25 (68.8%) under the total since 1996. The NBA betting odds at Bovada offers me a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

NBA Pick: Play on Under the total of 197.0 (-105) at Bovada.

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Brooklyn vs. Golden State 10:35 PM ET
Golden State improved their season record to a perfect 10-0 with a 129-116 win at Minnesota last night. Brooklyn is coming off a 111-109 loss at Sacramento in their previous game, and that dropped them to 1-8 on the year. It also marked the first time this season they went over the total in six road games.

Any team (Golden State) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and has a winning record, versus an opponent with a losing record, resulted in those games going 58-24 under the total during the past five seasons. The combined average points scored in those 82 contests was 198.9 per game.

Both of these teams will be playing their third game in four days on Saturday. That usually is a prerequisite for a low scoring game, and one of my NBA picks on Saturday will agree with that exact notion.

NBA Pick: Play on Under the total of 209.0 at Bovada.

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