O/U NBA Picks: Elite Total Plays To Start Cashing In

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 23, 2015 7:13 PM GMT

Our NBA handicapping is coming off another perfect day with his NBA picks on Sunday by going 2-0. He has three more to share on Monday. Go inside to find all the best selections.

New York vs. Miami 7:35 PM ET
Miami has gone 10-1 under the total in their last eleven games. The Heat has been terrific defensively, allowing 92.9 points per game, and holding opponents to 41.1% shooting from the field. Miami is a horrible three point shooting team, converting on only 31.1% of their attempts. This is a Heat team that plays at a methodical pace by NBA standards, averaging just 80 field goal attempts per game.

New York has gone 8-3 under the total during their past eleven games. They’ve been outstanding defensively in their last five, allowing just 92.6 points per game, and holding opponents to a mere 42.3% shooting from the floor.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my NBA picks on Monday will reflect that prediction.

NBA Pick: Under 192.5 (-105) at Heritage

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Detroit vs. Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET
Detroit has gone 9-3 under the total in their last twelve games. The Pistons are a horrible shooting team, converting on 42.4% of their field goal attempts, 30.0% from beyond the three point line, and a horrible 66.5% at the charity stripe.

Milwaukee is allowing an average of 117.7 points per game in their previous three outings. In addition, opponents shot 51.6% or better from the field in each of those games. Believe it or not, NBA betting history clearly favors a low scoring game when a team has been this porous defensively during a three game period.

Any home team (Milwaukee) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, coming off three games in a row in which they allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field, resulted in those games going 59-27 (68.8%) under the total since 1996.

According to the NBA odds, they provide me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

NBA Pick: Under 191 (-105) at 5Dimes

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Phoenix vs. San Antonio 8:35 PM ET
San Antonio is coming off a 92-82 win over Memphis in their previous game. The Spurs average 100.4 points per game, and Phoenix is allowing an average of 102.6 points per contest.

Any home team (San Antonio) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, averaging 98.0 to 102.0 points per game, and is coming off a game in which there was a combined 175 points or less scored, versus an opponent (Phoenix) that’s allowing an average of 102.0 or more points per game, resulted in those contests going 23-3 (88.5%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 26 affairs was 195.6, and there was a combined average of 205.5 points scored per game. It also resulted in 64% of those 26 games going over the total by 7.0 points or more.

NBA Pick: Over 198 at BetOnline

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