O/U NBA Picks: Capper Predicts Low-Scoring In Two Games On Friday

Ross Benjamin

Friday, March 11, 2016 6:29 PM GMT

Our expert handicapper shares his top two totals on Friday’s card. Don't make a move on your NBA picks without first reading this article.

Washington Wizards vs. Utah Jazz 9:05 PM ET
Utah has allowed 98 points or less in sixteen of their previous eighteen home games. That’s a significant fact I’m going weigh in on pertaining to the total for this matchup. When Washington scores less than 100 points in a contest, they’ve gone 12-1 under the total during its last thirteen games. They met Utah once this season, and held the Jazz to only 88 points during a 14 point home win.

Utah has scored 96 points or less in seven of its last eight games. During the course of that time, they averaged a paltry 91.9 points per game, and shot a poor 41.3% from the floor. Utah has allowed their opponents just an average of 15 free throw attempts per game over its previous five outings. Considering Washington is shooting a horrible 65.2% from the charity stripe during their last five games, points figure to be very limited in that regard.

Relative to the current total, this has all the earmarks of a low scoring game, and one of my NBA picks will concur with that line of thinking.

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NBA Pick: Play on under the total of 198 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Clippers 10:35 PM ET
New York has been pretty respectable on the defensive end of the floor of late. They’ve held opponents to just 43.2% shooting, and allowed them to convert on only 29.4% of their three point attempts. During its previous three games, New York is averaging 79 field goal attempts per contest, and that equates to a slow pace by NBA standards. They’ll have a cooperating dance partner tonight, since the Clippers average 81 per outing over their past three outings.

Speaking of the Clippers, they’ve gone 22-10 (68.8%) under the total at home this season. Their opponents have shot only 42.9% from the floor in those thirty-two games, and converted on a substandard 32.8% of its three point tries.

New York is coming off a 128-97 blowout win at Phoenix on Wednesday. Friday will be their third game in the last four days. Current NBA odds at Bovada has a posted total of 203.0 on this contest. This qualifies this game for a highly successful NBA betting algorithm illustrated below.

Any road team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, playing in its third game in four days, and is coming off a road win by 20 points or more, resulted in those contests going 23-5 (82.1%) under the total since 1996. The average total in the 28 games was 204.3, and there were a combined 194.2 points scored per contest.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883432, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NBA Pick: Play on under 203
Best Line Offered: at Bovada