Nuggets -4 over Bucks for your NBA Picks

Steven Suarez

Thursday, February 20, 2014 2:56 PM GMT

The Nuggets hope to avoid their sixth straight loss when they take on the Bucks in Milwaukee tonight. Which sides holds the most NBA betting value?

Odds Overview

Denver's struggles have had a considerable effect on the NBA odds, as the line for tonight's game isn't very high. The Nuggets are laying just four points here on the road, while the O/U seems to be settling in at 204.5.

On the year Denver is 24-28 SU and 22-30 ATS, with Milwaukee at 10-43 SU and 21-32 ATS.

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Denver Nuggets

Since beating these very Bucks on February 5th, the Nuggets have lost five consecutive games, falling on the road to the Timberwolves, Pacers, Pistons and Knicks and coming up short at home against the Suns.

At least Denver was able to break their string of double-digit losses against Phoenix two nights ago.

The Nuggets certainly made a game of it, forcing an overtime before eventually losing by five. Brian Shaw's team had tons of trouble stopping Phoenix's backcourt of Goran Dragic and Gerald Green (57 combined points), a key reason they couldn't stamp out a win.

Denver was able to dominate inside, out-scoring the Suns 58-32 in points in the paint. Kenneth Faried and J.J. Hickson combined for 32 points and 19 rebounds, while Timofey Mozgov came off the bench to put up eight points with 11 rebounds. Evan Fournier (25/8/4) was extremely effective as well.

This losing streak couldn't have come at a worse time, and the absence of Ty Lawson (currently listed as questionable for tonight) definitely hasn't help. The Nuggets now find themselves 6.5 games behind the eighth spot in the Western Conference standings.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks just ended a four-game losing run by beating Orlando 104-100 at home. In turn they covered for backers as three-point underdogs.

Milwaukee's actually been an extremely profitable team to back with your sports picks lately, having cashed the spread in six of their previous seven games overall.

Against the Magic, the Bucks had a balanced effort across the board. All nine players who suited up scored at least six points, with Carton Butler dropping a team-high 21 points (with seven boards) off the bench and Brandon Knight scoring 18 points to go along with seven assists and two steals. Nate Wolters (15/8/7) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (8/8/4) also made good impacts.

Let's not get too carried away with a home win over an Orlando team that's 16-40 SU on the year. Milwaukee is still just 2-10 SU over their last 12 matchups overall and their home record (6-21 SU) leaves a lot to be desired.

Injuries have hurt the Bucks too, though O.J. Mayo (probable) could return to action tonight. Luke Ridnour (back) and Ekpe Udoh (ankle) are questionable, while Larry Sanders (eye) is out through late March.

Thursday NBA Picks of the Day

NBA Pick

After getting blown out in four straight road games, the Nuggets put forth a much better effort against the Suns, yet still couldn't get the win.

Tonight we think they're still worth taking with our NBA picks against the Bucks, who are a dreadful 10-17 ATS at home this season. Denver has won seven straight games in this head-to-head series, while covering the spread in five of those meetings.

The Nuggets are still the better team despite their injuries and we look for them to come out focused in hopes of ending this losing run. Take Denver to cover this short number on the road.

NBA Pick: Denver Nuggets -4