No Real Edge Found In Money Line Versus Point Spread Betting

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, February 5, 2017 7:39 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 5, 2017 7:39 PM UTC

SBR contributor Ross Benjamin shares precise research done on NBA point spread betting compared to that of money line wagering. Go inside to read this insightful article that will certainly be of great help whenever you are placing your wagers.

NBA Point Spread to Money Line Conversions

I decided to touch upon a very intriguing NBA handicapping topic. I’m going to be discussing precise point spread numbers, and then converting them to what an average money line would be in each specific case. Below is a chart of point spreads that are 4.0 or less, and additionally the average money line conversions which correspond to each exact number. If you’re interested in seeing the calculations for point spreads of 4.5 or more just visit Sportsbook Review’s Spread/ML Converter.

 Point Spread Money Line Favorite Average Money Line Underdog Average 1.0 -115.4 -104.9 1.5 -121 -100 2.0 -131.9 +108.8 2.5 -143.8 +118.5 3.0 -156.4 +128.5 3.5 -170.3 +139.5 4.0 -184.3 +150.4
NBA Money Line Underdog Betting Values

I did a study on betting NBA money line underdogs that have a point spread of 4.0 or less. My search originated from the start of this 2016-2017 NBA regular season. My calculations were all based on risking \$100 on a money line underdog, and betting \$110 to win \$100 pertaining to point spreads. Furthermore, all money line calculations are done based on the average prices displayed above.

Abbreviations

ML=money line