NBA Fast Break: James Harden Is Out And Fading Houston May Be The Play

Jordan Sharp

Friday, October 26, 2018 2:26 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 26, 2018 2:26 PM UTC

Welcome to another big night of NBA regular season action. It’s time for another huge slate of NBA betting and there are still several bits of news and injuries you need to be aware of before placing your bets.

It’s a smaller Friday of NBA Odds, but that doesn’t mean value isn’t showing up, even after some of the overnight lines have settled. There are multiple stars who have a questionable tag next to their name, and of course, scoring has taken a big dip over the last few days.

Scoring Going Down Over The Last Two Nights

We have been seeing some REALLY high scoring games to start this NBA season, which isn’t too much of a surprise. However, some of the scores regularly reaching the 130s and even 140s was a bit of a shock.

However, that seems to be correcting itself over the last two days. It was bound to happen after the over cashed at 33-18 over the first week of the season. Since then however, the over is just 5-9-1 from Wednesday and Thursday’s games.

There will still be some really high scoring games over the next few days, and even potentially through the week. However, as guys get into shape and teams are able to scout more games from their opponents, the defense is going to keep improving.

With the exception of Clippers and Rockets, all the other totals for Friday are 226 or higher, with three games owning totals in the 230s. My guess is at least two, or maybe all three of the late game totals tonight are too high.

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James Harden Injury Gives Carmelo Anthony Chance To Start https://t.co/4eiwC06haM pic.twitter.com/1WVWBeAhqu

— Android Wires Blog (@androidwires) October 26, 2018
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James Harden Out For Rockets And Other Injuries

Even with Chris Paul returning for the Rockets tonight after his little girly scuffle with Rajon Rondo, Houston will be without their other super-star guard. James Harden injured his hamstring in the Rockets’ last game, and he will miss at least the next two games.

Houston already is pretty banged up, but the loss of Harden makes them a fade-worthy investment tonight. The Clippers are not a good basketball team, but without Harden, the Rockets aren’t that good either. As +3 underdogs, I would bet on the Clippers to out-gun Houston, who will be missing their MVP.

Harden isn’t the only injured star. Andrew Wiggins missed the last two games for the Wolves and he is being listed as questionable tonight against the Bucks. Milwaukee might be another underdog to take a look at whether or not Wiggins suits up.

The Bulls also are dealing with some injuries as Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn will be out tonight, and for the next 4-to-6 weeks. Without them the Bulls’ defense is going to go from bad to worse. Charlotte is already a -10 favorite though, so I’m laying off that game.

Finally, Bradley Beal left Washington’s game on Wednesday early with a chest contusion. His status will be one to watch as the Wizards visit the Kings. Sacramento has been playing well so far this season, while the Wizards have not. Washington will still be without Dwight Howard tonight, and their backup center, Ian Mahinmi also is questionable. If Beal and/or Mahinmi sit, Sacramento is a great home dog bet tonight.

Friday NBA Betting Trends
  • The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the Bulls and Hornets
  • The Knicks are 3-1 ATS against the Warriors over their last 4 meetings
  • The Nets are 13-4 ATS over the last 2 years when their total is 220 or higher on the road
  • The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 games between the Nets and Pelicans
  • The Clippers are 5-3 ATS against the Rockets in their last 8 meetings
  • The UNDER is 3-1 in the last 4 games between the Wolves and Bucks
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