Nets vs 76ers
Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers
Monday, April 15th, 2019, 8:00 PM, EDT
Free NBA Pick: Sixers -8 (-105)
Recommended Sportsbook: Bovada
It was quite the upset Saturday to ring in the first round of the 2019 NBA playoffs.
In this post we’ll focus on the No.3 seeded Sixers, who dropped the series opener to the No.6 seeded Nets 111-102 and, obviously, in so doing, they failed to cover as the closing -7.5 home faves.
To say it was a disappointing result across the board is to put it mildly. It’s not exactly the way the Sixers (51-31 SU overall and 31-10 SU at home) hoped to kick off their playoffs. That said, there’s a lot of positive noise coming out of their locker room ahead of game 2. A confidence that they’ll come back tonight and level the series.
Well, not all is lost after all. It was only game 1 of the postseason and while they did look a bit out of sorts they clearly underestimated the opponent and, perhaps, there was a bit of the jitters as well. There is still a lot to play for and guard Jimmy Butler (source ESPN) was on hand to say just that.
The Nets (42-20 SU) will be emboldened after winning game 1 against the odds. And not by a smidgen either but by a healthy nine points. It must be said though the sixth seeds punched above their weight class – during the regular season they were merely 19-22 SU on the road and 25-16-0 ATS with a -2.4 losing margin on average.
Public heavy on Nets in Game 2 Oddsmakers have gone to press with the Sixers as the -7.5 home faves in opening markets but the line has since moved to -8. Curiously, early betting consensus trends shows the Nets have 56% of early bets.
Does the public really believe the Nets will go up 2-0 in Philly? Can we have back-to-back upsets?
Make no mistake, Brooklyn to make it back-to-back wins is going to be no mean trick, now especially when the Sixers know only too well not to underestimate them again. The Sixers are down 0-1 in the series and if they hope to get back into it they really need to make home advantage count. They know this isn’t an opponent to give a 2-0 leg up to before the series switches cities.
All season long NBA neutrals have been high on the Brooklyn Nets, predicting they would pose a tricky obstacle in the playoffs. Game 1, Nets certainly proved that and, in turn, the public seems to be developing a bit of a crush on them in NBA betting markets, which makes Philly a bit of an unpopular favourite with 44% of the bets (at this point in time, 12 pm ET, Monday April 15).
NBA Betting Verdict: Brooklyn thoroughly deserved to win game 1. No ifs or buts about it. They came out prepared and took it to the hosts. Game 2 is going to be different because the Sixers are faced with a must-win game. They should win straight up and level the series. Playing the ATS line is a bit tricky because the Nets will be up for this game and after the first game 8 points does seem to be a lot to lay with the hosts. Then again, if they want to send a message that they are in it to win it too then a big win would be the way to go.
NBA Picks: Sixers -8 (-105) Bovada