NBA Total Picks of the Day: Today's Angles Produce 76.8% Winners

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, November 1, 2015 4:27 PM GMT

Our NBA capper provides us with his two top totals picks on Sunday’s card. Join us in reading this betting preview highlighting totals for the Rockets vs. Heat and Nuggets vs. Thunder.

Rockets vs. Heat 7:05 PM ET
The Houston Rockets have gone under the total by 12.5 points or more in each of their first two games. It’s certainly not because they’re playing air tight defense. Houston has allowed an average of 108.5 points per game, and opponents are shooting a robust 48.3% from the field. The offensively talented Rockets are averaging just 88.5 points per game, and are shooting a dismal 35.5% from the floor thus far. There’s a high chance of probability that offensive futility won’t continue on Sunday.

Miami has shot an excellent 43.9% from beyond the three point line during its first two games. The Heat has also converted on an outstanding 93% of their free throw attempts.

Any road team (Houston) playing in the first half of the season, and has gone under the total by 12.0 points or more in each of their previous two games, resulted in that road team going 40-15 (72.7%) over the total since 1996. This betting angle has also gone 9-1 over the total since the beginning of the 2013-2014 NBA campaign. From a handicapping algorithm standpoint, and being that I’m personally a technical handicapper, it makes a lot of sense to me. One of my NBA picks on Sunday will echo that exact sentiment.

NBA Pick: Play on OVER 205.0 (-105) at Heritage

 

Nuggets vs. Thunder 7:05 PM ET
This game has all the signs of a high scoring contest. Apparently the general public has seen it that way as well. According to current NBA betting odds at TheGreek.com, 64.1% of early bets have been made on going over this number. If it looks too good to be true, more times than not it is. That’s unequivocally the case pertaining to this contest on Sunday.

Denver is coming off a 95-78 loss as a home favorite of 3.5 against Northwest Division rival Minnesota on Friday. They’ll be facing another Northwest Division opponent in Oklahoma City on Sunday. This exact scenario qualifies for a superb NBA totals betting angle.

Any road team (Denver) with a total of 210.0 or more facing a divisional opponent, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss to a divisional opponent, resulted in that road team going 23-4 under the total since 1996. The average total in those contests was 215.4, and the average combined score amounted to 201.7. Those games averaged going under the total by 7.0 points or more 74.1% of the time. The NBA betting odds at 5Dimes provides the best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

NBA Pick: Play on OVER 212.5 (-105) at 5Dimes