NBA Preseason Picks: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts screaming in the middle of the court after scoring

Friday, October 21, 2016 5:54 PM GMT

We lost our play last night on the Bulls, but in one of the last days of the preseason, I am back to try and get back above .500 with a play on the Blazers and Warriors. These two teams both play on Opening Night and the NBA Odds have Golden State as a -9 ½ favorite, with a total of 214 ½.

 

 

Warrior’s starters set to play 30 minutes

Two nights ago, Steve Kerr was quoted saying he wanted to get his starters about 28-30 minutes in these final two preseason games. The Warriors somewhat easily dispatched the Lakers in their first dress rehearsal in San Diego and now they have to play the Blazers back at home in Oracle.

Portland somewhat used their last preseason game as a dress rehearsal, but other than Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, no starter played more than 24 minutes.

If this is the strategy used by Terry Stotts for this game, the Blazers are going to have a hard time hanging with Golden State, especially if they are playing their starters late in the third and potentially the fourth quarter as well.

However, last season what Stotts did in Portland’s final preseason game may be the plan he follows this time around as well. Much like this past game where Lillard and McCollum played more than the other starters, both guards played 38 minutes in the Blazers’ final preseason game, while the other starters played in the 20s again.

This could be what they do here, especially with the Warriors’ starters set to play 30 minutes. In a game where the defense might be non-existent, that could lead to more scoring.

 
The Sharp Pick

Just as the NBA Odds for this game opened, the total jumped up from 211 ½ to 214 ½. That’s a sign of potential sharp action laying heavy money on the over ad I think I am following suit. Even though the total has jumped up three points from the number it opened at, these final preseason games are for offense and to make sure no one gets hurt.

While offense won’t be hard to come by, no player is going to risk injury diving for a ball or a rebound, or even putting forth too much effort on defense. In the Blazers’ last preseason game last season, they gave up 115 points. The Warriors didn’t fare too well either, giving up 136 points to the Lakers on a neutral floor. The Warriors even played their starters in that game too, so look for another high scoring affair in this one.

 

Free NBA Pick: Over 214 ½ Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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