The trade deadline has come and gone, and the Sixers sold big time at the deadline. Two starters have left town and now they are left with almost a brand new roster tonight with the Mavs coming to town. The NBA Odds have the Sixers as +12 underdogs at home, and the total is set at 213. I think we will be able to count the number of times the Sixers are less than double-digit underdogs on one hand for the rest of the season, and at least in the short term, they might be a great fade.
Super-Tanking; not just for Milwaukee anymore
With only thirty games to go for most teams, the stakes are getting higher for the best chance at the top spot in the NBA Draft. The Sixers were just bad at being horrible in the first half, and with only hours before the trade deadline, they shipped Spencer Hawes to Cleveland for basically nothing, along with Evan Turner and Lavoy Allen to the Pacers for Danny Granger.
This immediately puts them past the Bucks for the best chance to nab the worst record in the NBA in my eyes. They are currently 4 ½ games better than Milwaukee right now in the standings, but when you trade two starters for just one, you are going to get a lot worse. It seems as if the Pacers got the better end of the deal, even though Indiana has to take on Turner’s salary next season, and Granger is a free agent after this year.
The Sixers now have no starting caliber big men on their roster, (I don’t consider Thaddeus Young a big man) and they are going to have to choose from newly acquired options Henry Sims or Byron Mullens to start at center, or in house options Daniel Orton, or maybe even Arnett Moultrie. This is not good for the Sixers.
It’s a shame that the worst ATS team in the NBA doesn’t get extra juice in the draft lottery. The Sixers have been awful this season at 21-34 ATS, and with these deadline moves, they aren’t going to get any better, especially tonight against the Mavs.
The Sharp Pick
The Mavs have already been very undervalued on the road all season, and at 19-9 ATS playing away from home, Dallas looks like an excellent play against the discombobulated 76ers. Philly won’t have any sense of an offense tonight with two of their top four scorers gone, and even though Granger is going to get a lot of run with Philadelphia, it will take him a little while to get used to playing on a different team and in a different city. Granger has played his entire career in Indiana, and it may come as a shock to him at first. Also, there have been no reports of his status for tonight’s game, and if he will even be available. That will put another huge blow to the Sixers if he isn’t available for some reason.
At home this year, the Sixers are giving up 111 points per game, and 113 per game in their last ten overall. Turner was arguably their best defender, and losing him will put a huge dent in their wing defense. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see Dallas put up north of 115 points tonight. Dallas is 7-3 ATS playing as road favorites this season, and even the large spread doesn’t scare me when it’s the Sixers they’re playing. Philly probably won’t be able tot score more than 85 points tonight for our basketball picks, especially if Granger isn’t available.
NBA Pick: Mavs -12