NBA Playoffs Picks: O/U Total Odds for Wednesday's Game 2's

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, April 22, 2015 1:04 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 22, 2015 1:04 PM UTC

I've already shared my NBA picks ATS for Wednesday's trio of Game 2s of the playoffs. Now I will recommend which way you should lean on totals for those three games with NBA odds.

Nets vs. Hawks (201.5)
Atlanta won Game 1 99-92 when the total was 205. Thus you can see why today's NBA odds are a bit lower now. Both teams were below-average offensively in that one. The Hawks shot 43.0 percent overall and missed 20 3-pointers. All-Star forward Paul Millsap, who just came back from a shoulder injury that cost him five of the final six regular-season games, still looked bothered by it as he was just 2-for-11 from the field for six points and the Hawks were minus-2 when he was on the floor. Millsap says he may ditch his shoulder pad and compression shirt. Not sure if that will change things. In addition, All-Star center Al Horford suffered a dislocated finger in that game. He had to get his pinky and ring fingers taped together on his shooting hand and it seemed to affect Horford a bit. He will play in this game but again have those fingers taped together. Meanwhile, the Nets shot 45.6 percent overall but were only 5-for-20 from 3-point range and 15-for-22 from the charity stripe. They didn't have a guy reach 20 points, with Joe Johnson (only 6-for-17 from the field) and Brook Lopez leading with 17. I fully expect the Nets to make sure Lopez, now the team's best player, gets more than the seven shots he did in Game 1, although the Hawks are packing the paint and trying to force the Nets to beat them from the outside. Brooklyn needs to protect the ball better as the Hawks had 11 steals.

NBA Free Pick: 'Over' 201.5 at Pinnacle. It has hit in 11 of the past 16 meetings in Atlanta. The 'over' has hit in four of Atlanta's past five vs. teams with a losing record.


Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies (190)
Portland was one of the better offensive teams in the NBA during the regular season but shot a season-worst 33.7 percent in Game 1's 100-86 loss in Memphis and just 8-for-26 from 3-point range. LaMarcus Aldridge for some reason became Russell Westbrook in terms of hogging the shots as he attempted a career-high 34, making only 13. That number will drop considerably in Game 2. The Blazers backcourt of Damian Lillard (5-for-21) and C.J. McCollum (1-for-8) was a combined 6-for-29 from the field (0-for-8 from long range) for 16 points. Hard to imagine those two being that bad again, especially Lillard. The Portland bench, weakened with McCollum in the starting five, had 21 points, or just one point more than Memphis reserve guard Beno Udrih. The good news for Portland is that starting shooting guard Arron Afflalo has a good shot of playing Game 2. He hasn't played since April 9 due to a shoulder injury. He averaged 10.6 points with the Blazers after coming over in trade from Denver. As for Memphis, Udrih isn't going to score 20 again. He got the same amount of minutes as starting point guard Mike Conley, who continues to battle a foot injury. He's clearly less than 100 percent. Keep that in mind when placing your NBA picks.

NBA Free Pick: 'Under.' The Blazers have scored 100 points just once in five losses to the Grizzlies this season. Memphis is able to control the pace. The 'under' is 5-2 in Portland's past seven road games. It is 6-2 in the past eight meetings in Memphis.


Spurs vs. Clippers (207)
So here's what will not happen again in the wake of the Clippers' 107-92 Game 1 win. Chris Paul will not outscore Tony Parker 32-10. In fact, Paul had more combined rebounds and assists than Parker had points, rebounds and assists. Spurs starting guard Danny Green won't shoot 2-for-11 from the field and 1-for-7 from long range again. Manu Ginobili will not play less than 20 minutes again and will score more than 10 points. The Spurs will not shoot 36.6 percent from the field, miss 23 3-pointers or clank 12 of 26 free throws again. Also look for Spurs center Tiago Splitter to play more than 10  minutes. Game 1 was his first game action since April 3 due to injury but Splitter expects to play more as he's feeling pretty good. Splitter needs to because Blake Griffin treated Spurs backup center Aron Baynes like a ragdoll at times in the opener. I think it's fair to say the Clippers will not be capable of shooting 51.3 percent from the field again. The Spurs will play desperate.  

NBA Free Pick: 'Under.' It has hit in five of the Spurs' past seven road games. It is 7-1 in the Clippers' past eight after a win. 

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