NBA Playoffs Picks: Betting High Scores Will Pay Off Tonight!

Nikki Adams

Sunday, May 1, 2016 3:00 PM GMT

Sunday, May. 1, 2016 3:00 PM GMT

Sunday’s round of NBA playoff betting features GS Warriors in game 1 of the second round and a Game 7 in Pacers vs. Raptors. Find out where we’re lining up our NBA picks in this space.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors
Series: Second round, Game 1
The first game of the Western Conference semi-final showdown between Portland Trail Blazers and Golden State Warriors is set to get underway today. No surprises to which team is favoured: defending champions Golden State Warriors are the runaway favourites to clinch the series, an extension of their favourable NBA odds throughout the season to win a second straight NBA Championships.

Golden State Warriors finished the season with a stellar 73-9 SU record that included a 39-2 SU record at home. Coming away with a win at the Oracle Arena is no mean feat, but the Trail Blazers just might fancy their chances despite the heavy odds. The hosts have lost their talisman Stephen Curry to injury for the next few weeks. You can back the Warriors to win straight up at -525 at Pinnacle and Bet Online while a win by the Trail Blazers is trading at +442 NBA odds with Pinnacle.

If the NBA odds were any indication, the market isn’t overly fussed by the loss of Curry. Cleary, the defending champions are more than a one-man show. Besides, the Trail Blazers regular season away record that stands at 16-25 leaves something to be desired.


 

The Warriors advanced through the first round of the playoffs with a 4-1 SU and ATS record, which included and 18.8-point winning margin and a plus 10.3-point differential against the spread. Incidentally, the NBA betting line opened with the Warriors installed as the 7.5-point home chalk, but it’s been bet up to 9.5-points at most sports betting outlets. Public betting is firmly in their camp with 65.6% of the bets. No Stephen Curry. No problem.

Against the totals, the Warriors went 1-4 in over-under betting in the first round of the NBA playoffs, taking out the Houston Rockets in Game 5 of the series behind a 114-81 win. Although the Under cashed in more instances, the Warriors still averaged 110 points per game in that series. Just a smidgen under their season average of 114.9 points per game. They also held the Rockets to just 91.2 points scored per game in the series, which is much lower than their regular season mark of 104.1 points allowed.

It’s going to be a tough ask for the Trail Blazers in every sense of the game. Winning at the Oracle is going to be a tough ask, so too is covering the spread we’d wager. The Warriors took the series 3-1 over the Trail Blazers while all four games cracked the Over. Indeed, they went well over the current total of 208.5 trading on game 1 of this highly-anticipated series. If there were a best bet to be had on this game, that’s it. Backing the Over 208.5 on the totals for your NBA picks.

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Free NBA Pick:  Over 208½
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors
Series: First Round, Game 7
Of all the games on the day’s NBA Betting card, this is the most closely matched with the pair nestled on a 5.5-point spread and the lowest total on the board of 189.00, available at Heritage (at the time of writing). By all accounts, it could go either way. After all, it’s Game 7 of a heated first round series.

The Raptors are 3-3 SU in the playoffs and 2-4 ATS with a 2.5-point losing margin and a negative 6.0-point differential versus the spread. The Pacers are 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS with a 2.5-point winning margin and a plus 6-point differential versus the spread. The total in this series is 1-5 in over-under betting, with totals of 195 or lower trading on the sports betting floor.

According to the NBA betting trends, it’s a tossup which side will win and/or cover. However, the NBA trends do point towards the Under between this pair given the series stands 1-5 in O/U betting. However, given what is at stake everything goes out of the window. It should be a right battle to the end. Both sides are averaging 102-points scored per game and conceding an average anywhere from 92 to 96 points per game. If those numbers prevail in Game 7 significantly, this game could crack the low total – lowest yet in the series – of 189-ish. As such, we’re leaning towards the Over on our NBA picks.

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Free NBA Pick:  Over 189
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

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