The Los Angeles Clippers have their work cut out if they hope to avoid a 0-2 start to their playoff bid. Then again, they’re facing the defending champions. Two-time defending champions bent on making a three-peat this season. Is anybody really surprised?
The No.8 seed Clippers (48-35 SU) went down fast in the first game and never really recovered afterward. They were well and truly outplayed, outclassed and outmuscled.
The Warriors maintained the pace and pressure and never let up en route to a whopping 121-104 victory. Stephen Curry was simply out of this world (shocker!) as he put up 38 points and 15 rebounds and all the while making 8 out of 12 three-pointers, which breaks Ray Allen’s all-time postseason record for three-pointers.
The victory marked the fourth straight victory by the Warriors over the Clippers dating back to the regular season. On Monday night, they’ll look to make it five in a row and if the NBA odds were any indication the market certainly thinks it’s a likely outcome.
Straight up betting markets have the Warriors as the four-digit faves well into minus money. Depending on your choice top sportsbook the Warriors are found trading anywhere from a low of -1100 (5Dimes) to a high of -1500 (Bookmaker).
On the flip side, the Clippers are found as significant underdogs anywhere from +775 (Bovada) to +900 (5Dimes). Obviously, this is a flier bet, that kind that comes to the good once in a blue moon. If this is your choice NBA pick, don’t go betting the farm on it. Stealing home advantage from the Warriors is like attempting to take a bone away from a dog. It is worth noting that the Warriors have more than 50% of the consensus bets in this market.
The ATS Line offers up angles on both sides of the coin in theory. Bookmakers opened the Warriors as the -14.5 faves on the NBA odds board. Since open doors, the line has come down to -13.5 with most sportsbooks and, even, to as low as -13 (-113) with BetOnline. In this market, the Clippers would seem to have a slight leg up with 52% of consensus betting going their way up to this point. (Monday, April 15, 12 PM ET).
Double-digit ATS lines give the underdog a chance to cover. After the massive loss in game 1 and all the hoopla, the idea is the Clippers could come out and play a much better game, be more focused in their execution and potentially keep it close at the very least. For this to happen, they’ll need to do everything better than the Warriors did in Game 1, and all season long even.
The Warriors were the second-best offensive team in the league during the regular season, averaging 117.7 points per game. Game 1 saw them top that average by four points, so you could say they played one of their best games, complemented by a strong showing on defense that held the Clippers to just 104 points.
NBA Betting Verdict: Whichever way you slice this game, it is a mismatch of epic proportions. Just to look at the NBA betting market is to get a sense of just how one-sided it really is. The Clippers simply don’t have the star-power, the talent or grit to really make a fist of it. The Warriors are in a league of their own and as such, they are the smart bet straight up and ATS.
NBA Pick: Warriors -13.5 (-101)
Recommended Sportsbook: Pinnacle