Fade The Public In Blazers vs. Nuggets Game 7

Sunday, May 12, 2019 5:24 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 12, 2019 5:24 PM UTC

It’s down to the wire. Who will clinch the series and advance in to the Western Conference Final? Public betting favours the visitors, but we’re fading the public and shading the hosts. Here’s our take complete with NBA picks.

<p style="text-align:center"><strong>Portland Trail Blazers (3-3 SU and ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (3-3 SU &amp; ATS)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Sunday, May 12, 2019 3:30 PM EST</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Picks: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/portland-trail-blazers-vs-denver-nuggets-3784882/odds/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Nuggets-5.5 (-108)</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Sportsbook: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4435&amp;book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook!">Pinnacle</a></strong></p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3784882, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,999991,999996], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Once again, the Denver Nuggets have delivered one of the most entertaining series of the playoffs. Once again, they are set to go the distance in a series. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/3542757-denver-comes-into-game-7-flare-sense-confidence.html" target="_blank" title="Denver comes into game 7 with a flare sense of confidence">Can they pull it off?</a> Bookies install the No.2 seeds as the favourites at -5.5 against the spread, a nod that is underscored by home advantage.</p><p>Public betting, however, seems to lean ever so slightly towards the Portland Trail Blazers. With the game set to kick off later today, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/" target="_blank" title="Live Betting Odds Board">consensus betting reveals</a> the Blazers have just around 55% of the consensus to cover as road underdogs. What’s more, consensus bets also reveal the Blazers are the public’s bet to win straight up with 57% banking on the outright upset. Does the public have it right?</p><p>Series Tied 3-3</p><p>The series is delicately poised on a 3-3 mark with the Blazers coming through in a must-win game 6 119-108 and coming through as the -4 home favourites on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Live NBA Odds Board">NBA odds board</a>.</p><p>After Denver took the edge in <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/nba-portland-trail-blazers-vs-denver-nuggets-round-2-game-5/90054/" target="_blank" title="Nuggets Look To Repeat Sunday's Performance Now On Their Home Court">game 5 behind a 124-98 victory</a>, marking back-to-back wins, they appeared to have the momentum. The series was in their control and they let the ball drop.</p><p>Credit must be given to the Blazers for putting in a solid effort against Denver, holding them to just 108 points in game 6. McCollum scored 30 points to lead the Blazers to victory, but backup Rodney Hood scored 25 points on 8-of-12 shooting to play a huge part as well.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/rodneyhood?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@rodneyhood&lt;/a&gt; was dominating smaller defenders and &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/zcollins_33?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@zcollins_33&lt;/a&gt; was hitting open shots and hitting from the free throw line 💯 &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/JamieHudsonNBCS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@JamieHudsonNBCS&lt;/a&gt; shares her 3️⃣takeaways from the Blazers Game 6 win over the Nuggets. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;🔗: &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/fBZkyiEHVm\"&gt;https://t.co/fBZkyiEHVm&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/EotPwJ3dOh\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/EotPwJ3dOh&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— NBC Sports Northwest (@NBCSNorthwest) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/NBCSNorthwest/status/1126902328123174912?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;10 de maio de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>All is not lost for the Nuggets though despite their wobble in game 6. They have a second chance to close out the series and with home advantage this time, which has to count for something. Overall, the Nuggets have played well in the series, holding their own on both sides of the ball. They are averaging 110.2 points per game. The Nuggets are shooting 44 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range.</p><p>The Nuggets have played well against the spread importantly and they have one of the best home court advantages in the league. As home favourites, the Nuggets are 37-8-0 SU and 21-18-0 ATS with an 11.2 winning margin. Crucially, after a loss, they are 20-13-0 SU with a 5.5 winning margin on average. Indeed, it was the latter stat that motivated the team towards their impressive bounce back win in game 4 after losing the sensational four-overtime epic.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/trailblazers?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@trailblazers&lt;/a&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/nuggets?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@nuggets&lt;/a&gt; look to advance to the Western Conference Finals with a GAME 7 WIN today on ABC (3:30pm/et)... who ya got?? &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/NBAPlayoffs?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#NBAPlayoffs&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/MEHhNuAJnR\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/MEHhNuAJnR&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— NBA (@NBA) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/NBA/status/1127611893995134976?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;12 de maio de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>If the Blazers can’t stop Jokic and Murray on the offensive side of the ball in Denver today, the Nuggets have every chance of running away with this series and advancing into the Conference final. Portland is just 11-16-0 SU as the away underdog with a -6.0 losing margin on average. In short, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" target="_blank" title="More NBA Picks">we are fading the public and backing the home faves</a> to get the job done.</p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>NBA Free Picks:</strong> Nuggets -5.5 (-108) Pinnacle</p>
comment here