After dominating the last two nights on Bovada’s NBA Prop Picks, we have a cushioned bankroll and another opportunity at cashing some winning tickets with Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.
This series has been all about matchups the second Kawhi Leonard went down with injury. Without him, it left holes in the defense against Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry. However, Klay Thompson has been the forgotten man in the Warriors’ offense over the last two days and going on the road for game 3 won’t help that.
Thompson had some very exaggerated home/road splits when it came to shooting the ball this season. He had a 43.4% shooting mark on the road compared to 50.4% at home during the regular season and he shot nearly 12 percentage points worse on the road from beyond the arc.
Obviously Thompson has only played four road games in the playoffs, but he is putting up similar shooting percentages at 40.7% from the floor and obviously Portland wasn’t that tough of a defense, even on the road.
Against Danny Green and possibly Jonathon Simmons tonight, Thompson will see his stats take a dip. If his three-ball isn’t going, he should fall under 18 tonight.Free NBA Pick: UNDER 18Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Draymond Green O/U 20 ½ points and rebounds
After a poor showing in Game 1, Draymond Green got back in a rhythm in Game 2, posting 13 points and nine rebounds to go with six assists, two blocks and two steals.
A similar game could be in order tonight for Green, who is going to be the team’s primary center with Zaza Pachulia out for Game 3. While that may hurt at the beginning of the game, Green is a much quicker leaper than LaMarcus Aldridge or Pau Gasol and while those guys have a height advantage, Green has the offensive advantage against both, even on the road.
Along with having to play center more, Green should have plenty of more chance to score the ball. His playoff averages alone are enough to take a shot at the over on this one.
There is also the defense of the Spurs to think about here. Without Leonard, the Spurs’ defense shifts some and leaves guys like Green wide open for three-pointers. He took six three-pointers in Game 2 at home ad Green is one of those weird players that shoot better on the road than at home.
If some of the other Warriors are struggling, I see Green stepping up on offense with 10-15 points and double-digit rebounds.Free NBA Pick: OVER 20½ Best Line Offered: at Bovada