The Thunder try to close out the Warriors on the road, while they try to complete an epic comeback. With that in mind, whom should we back with our player prop picks?
Serge Ibaka O/U 19.5 points and rebounds
Sportsbooks keep putting Serge Ibaka’s NBA odds too low for the type of output and position he is playing at times in this series, and yet again I am forced to teach them a lesson on Ibaka. Newsflash, he is playing pretty well, and he really hasn’t been making too many three-pointers. If that happens he might approach this total before halftime, and so, for the third time in a row this series, I am going with the over on Ibaka’s points and rebounds.
They have raised his total slightly from Game 6, but 19½ is still beatable tonight if Ibaka is shooting and hitting his outside jumper. He has already been extremely consistent on the rebounding end, posting a Defensive Rebounding Percentage of 17 percent in the playoffs. As long as he continues to put up a consistent eight rebounds per game, he is more than capable of 12 to 15 points to put this prop over the top.
What makes me so confident in Ibaka other than his role change that has seen him play 76 combined minutes in the Thunder’s last two games is his three-point shooting. Even though he is only shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc in this series, Ibaka is still shooting better than 45 percent from beyond the arc in the playoffs. Considering he is also shooting the ball at over 80 percent from 10 feet and in, Ibaka’s efficiency warrants another NBA pick on his points and rebounds.
Free NBA Pick: Over 19½ -115
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Andre Iguodala O/U 15.5 points, rebounds and assists
I may be late to the party on this one, but with the way that Andre Iguodala has been playing, along with the fact that he started the second half of Game 6, it’s about time we go after another Iguodala over here in Game 7 on Monday night. Iguodala was huge on defense in Game 6. He was one of the reasons the Thunder looked so sloppy down the stretch of that game, and he also has seen his minutes start to tick up over the last three games.
Iguodala played 38 minutes in Game 6, posting eight points and seven rebounds, and even though he isn’t shooting the ball much, as long as he can hit a three-pointer or two, he should be able to go over on this prop at home tonight.
He is averaging about seven total rebounds and assists in this series already, and the last game the Warriors played at home he had eight assists. I fully expect him to be involved in the offense tonight, and he should be good for at least three or four rebounds. If it all comes together, I see him having an impactful game.
Free NBA Pick: Over 15½ -115
Best Line Offered: at Bovada