NBA Playoff Pick Of The Day Focuses On Thunder vs. Spurs Total

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, April 30, 2016 4:00 PM GMT

Now it’s time for Saturday’s loan Western Conference battle, and we have found a play we really like for a ticket casher, so read on and profit from this amazing NBA Pick!

Thunder vs. Spurs
While I do think the Blazers deserve a lot of credit for their win against the Clippers, after LA got hurt so badly in the first round, they stood no chance of beating the Warriors, and neither do the Blazers even with Stephen Curry out for the first part, or even the entire series. We don’t even know how healthy Curry will be once he makes his way back, so what I’m saying here is, the winner of this series could end up winning the entire Western Conference, and maybe even the NBA Championship.

For Game 1 between the Spurs and Thunder, the NBA Odds makers have the Spurs as -6 ½ favorites heading into Saturday night, and the total is sitting at 201 points. The spread has stayed steady ever since it opened, but the total is starting to drop some after opening at 201½. Some books even have the total at 200 ½ right now, and I think it’s going in the exact right direction.

The total isn’t too far off from where it should be, but after some rest for both teams after their quick first round series, this one could be slow paced and very defensive in nature. We don’t think of the Thunder’s defense too much when we think about their team, but they do have a solid defense. On the year their Defensive Rating was 103, and in the playoffs against Dallas they improved to 99.3.

Steven Adams is playing well down low as a rebounder and enforcer, and Serge Ibaka has stepped his defense up as well. Both of those guys will be crucial in slowing down the big men from San Antonio, and with solid defenders to throw at Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, these two teams matchup very well against one another.


 

The Sharp Pick
In their four regular season matchups this season, the under cashed in three of the four, and in the final three games after a higher scoring and fast paced game in the first night of the season way back in October. The pace of those last three games was incredibly slow as well, and I doubt we can expect anything less tonight.

Both of these teams are also well-rested coming into tonight. The Spurs’ last game was on the 24th, and the Thunder’s was on the 25th. That’s five and four days of rest for each team, and that may come in handy on the defensive end here in San Antonio. The Spurs have been a stifling defense at home this season, and in the playoffs. They held the Grizzlies down easily with a Defensive Rating of 78.6 points per 100 possessions in the first round, and their home DRtg was 95 during the regular season.

On top of that, the rest is bound to help both teams as I mentioned above. Since 2010, the Thunder have been the best team in the NBA cashing the under with four or more days off at 9-4, and while the Spurs tend to lean towards the over in that time frame, they are 2-1 since 2014 cashing the under on four or more days rest. Look for a slow paced and very intense game between these two, and look for the under to be the best NBA Pick of the night.

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Free NBA Pick:  Under 201 -105
Best Line Offered: at Heritage