Let's take a look at the available NBA betting props for Monday, keeping in mind that some teams will sit their players and other teams are ducking it out, trying to make the playoffs.
Total Points For James Harden
Over 29.5 -125
Under 29.5 -105
The prop should be "Will James Harden get 30 points by halftime?" This prop appears to be a slam dunk as you're dealing with one of the two best players in the game at the present time.
Harden is coming off of a strong effort against the New Orleans Pelicans in which he had 30 points at halftime. Tonight, he plays a rather weak opponent in the Charlotte Hornets. The only way that Harden goes under 30 points is if the Rockets blow out the Hornets and he doesn't play the 4th quarter. I'm willing to take that risk. Over is the play.
NBA Player Props Pick: Over 29.5 -125
Total Points For Trevor Ariza
Over 13.5 -130
Under 13.5 EV
Ariza has been money up until now. He's scored 13 or more points in 8 out of his last 10 games. However, in his last game, he had a poor outing with a mere 5 points in 38 minutes of play. Occasionally, it's difficult for players who play with James Harden to get their shots as he controls the action. I'm looking for a bounce back effort from Ariza, who has proven to be a consistent player.
NBA Player Props Pick: Over 13.5
Total Points For Greg Monroe
Over 17.5 -115
Under 17.5 -115
I'm going to let everyone in on the inside scoop. Word is that the New York Knicks are ready to sign Greg Monroe, who has been misused at times by head coach, Stan Van Gundy. Monroe is a walking double-double that will give a team 18 points and 10 rebounds per game. His latest numbers are right around where the betting prop numbers are. However, if Cleveland decides to sit their players, Monroe will eclipse the 17.5 points and I do expect the Cavs to sit some players. Bet over these NBA odds with confidence.
NBA Player Props Pick: Over 17.5 -115
Total Rebounds For Andre Drummond
Over 14.5 -115
Under 14.5 -115
I really want to take advantage of this matchup for my NBA picks tonight, as Drummond is another major contributor. He's similar to DeAndre Jordan as both men are beasts on the boards. Drummond is averaging nearly 14 rebounds on the season and has had 14 rebounds or more in his last 5 games. He's done this quite convincingly, coming off of a 17 rebound effort against Charlotte. I'm rolling with the overs today and this prop is another over as Drummond has no problem controlling the glass.
NBA Player Props Pick: Over 14.5 -115
Total Points For Nikola Vucevic
Over 19.5 -115
Under 19.5 -115
I personally listened to Vucevic's last game on the radio against the Knicks and it was one of his worst efforts of the season. 12 points and 13 rebounds sound good, but Cole Aldrich owned Vucevic and Vucevic's offensive production has taken a late season drop. In his last 2 games, he's had a 12 point game against the Knicks in a loss and 16 points against Toronto. Vucevic has showed visible frustration (from the part that I caught on television) and I'm not expecting him to get 20 points against the Miami Heat and Hassan Whiteside.
NBA Player Props Pick: Under 19.5 -115 at 5 Dimes