NBA Picks: Wizards vs. Thunder

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 2:37 PM GMT

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won eight of their last nine games at Chesapeake Energy Arena, as they prepare to take on the Washington Wizards Wednesday night. 


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this non-conference affair, with Wednesday's opening tip scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.

Wall-to-Wall

Washington has won seven of its last 10 games, including a 107-94 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies as five-point home underdogs Monday, while going OVER the posted total of 181.

Wizards point guard John Wall finished with 47 points, eight assists and seven rebounds, while he’s averaging 25.0 points on 55.6 percent shooting from the field in his last nine games.

There’s no alternative

Oklahoma City has won six of its last nine affairs, including a 103-83 blowout victory over the Portland Trail Blazers as 11-point home favorites Sunday, while going UNDER the total for a third consecutive contest.

The Thunder have alternated spread wins and losses over that span, while they’ve compiled a 41-28-2 against-the-spread record during the 2012-13 NBA season.

Success versus non-conference foes

NBA handicappers might not be impressed with the Wizards’ 14-15 straight-up (SU) record against Western Conference teams, but it’s their most wins versus non-conference opponents since 2007.

Washington is a money-making 22-7 ATS in that particular situation, while posting a 5-9 SU mark on the road versus non-conference foes.

Dropping the hammer

It’s hard to imagine that the Thunder don’t open up as double-digit favorites on the SBR Odds page Wednesday morning, considering they’ve won eight of their last nine home games, with the victories coming by an average of 22.0 points.

Oklahoma City is 11-2 ATS in front of its own crowd when taking on a team with a losing road record, with the UNDER going 3-1-1 in its last five games in that situation.

[gameodds]5/222924/43-19-999996-92/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

It’s very difficult to get a read on this matchup due to the Wizards having five players that are listed as questionable on the injury report, as they’ll need as many bodies as possible against a Thunder squad that has outscored foes by an average of 13.9 points per game at home.

I’ve developed Oklahoma City as a 13.5-point home favorite, which suggests laying the points in this spot with a betting line of 13 or lower, while Washington is worth a look at a number of 14 or higher for your NBA picks.

Handicapper Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5