NBA Picks: Wizards vs. Heat

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, January 6, 2013 3:36 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 6, 2013 3:36 PM UTC

Free NBA picks for tonight's matchup between the Washington Wizards and the Miami Heat. Where do our NBA handicappers believe that the best value lies for our NBA picks?

Season Straight Picks Record: (48-37-3) 

We have reached the end of another week, and my what a week it was. The New Year has been pretty kind to me, and while I hope it keeps up, I also hope you all have been cashing in with some winners. I have several free NBA picks pending today and this evening, and one of them is the silliest revenge game (sort of) you’ve ever heard of, as the Wizards head down to Miami to face the Heat. 

The NBA odds list Miami as a huge -14 favorite over the Wizards. If you remember, all the way back in 2012, the Wizards beat the Heat in Washington, setting up the patented and premature comments on the national media asking if we should be worries about the Heat. Even though the Heat have beaten them since that loss, it still resonates. 

For tonight’s matchup, Miami has no injury concerns, and they are going to definitely want this game, as the Knicks have moved into a virtual tie with Miami for the top spot in the East. If Miami loses, they will drop out of that spot for the time being. It may only be the beginning of January, but it should mean something to the champs, as every game is starting to matter more and more.

Another year, another lottery 

I’ve only lived in Washington DC for a short time, but I can tell you that the Wizards and their front office have been awful, and it must be impossible to be a coach, player or fan. The one right decision they’ve made I the last five years is drafting John Wall, something even they could have screwed up. 

FOr starters, look at some of their recent lottery picks. They took Bradley Beal over Dion Waiters and Harrison Barnes last season, and both look better than Beal here in the early going. Two drafts ago that WASTED a pick on Jan Vesely when they could have had anyone from Kemba Walker to Klay Thompson or hell even Bismack Biyombo.

It’s torrential mismanagement that has the Wizards in the dumps every season. Even if John Wall had been playing this whole time, I doubt the Wizards would be much better than they are now, and that is something because I thought if healthy that they would actually contend this season. That is surely not the case.

Read our Sunday NBA Picks of the Day article for more info on this game.

Heat starting to wake up?

It was probably only a matter of time before head coach Erik Spoelstra yelled at his team to wake up after their championship hangover, a hangover that lasted well into this season. A good team is marked by how quickly they can forget about last season, whether good or bad. Teams like the Spurs, Knicks, Thunder and Bulls are forgetting about their bad exits to last season, while teams like the Heat, Bobcats and Wizards are not forgetting. 

The Heat lost to the aforementioned Bulls Friday night, as they were out-hustled, out rebounded, and simply out played by the Bulls who are still a month or two away from getting Derrick Rose back. Up until recently the Heat looked as if they had forgotten about last season, but if their last five games are a measure of success, they are still fast asleep. After a nice nine game stretch where they were 8-1 SU, the Heat have lost three of their last five games, and needed overtime to win the two against the Mavericks at home, and the Magic in Orlando.


The Sharp Pick

Washington could get back Trevor Ariza tonight, but that is still very much up in the air. They are still without Trevor Booker, and they are still a week or so away from John Wall. 

The last time the Wizards played the Heat in Miami they lost by 30 points. That was without Nene, and Jordan Crawford having an awful showing. Tonight, I’m thinking the over is the play, as the spread is too much for me.

Crawford and Nene will both be solid for Washington tonight, and the Heat’s defense has been suspect recently. 

My NBA Pick: OVER 190.5 at Bookmaker
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