NBA Picks: Win Big With Two of Friday's Best Plays

Jordan Sharp

Friday, November 20, 2015 7:13 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 20, 2015 7:13 PM GMT

It’s another stacked night of NBA action, and with 11 games on the slate for you this evening, there should be plenty of value in the NBA Odds to take advantage of. I have found a spread and total that look like great value, and I am releasing them absolutely free of charge. 

Suns vs. Nuggets
Both of these teams have been playing above expectations so far this young season, but while it was somewhat expected from the Suns after they barely missed the playoffs in the West last season, the Nuggets should regress back to the mean sometime this season. However, tonight against one another for the second time in a week, the NBA odds have the Suns as -2 road favorites in Denver tonight, with a total of 206 ½.

While laying the few points with the Suns might be a good wager, the altitude in Denver scares me some. These two teams played almost a week ago in Phoenix and the Suns wiped the floor with the Nuggets, but I doubt that happens again tonight. Mike Malone has been a great coaching hire for this team, and while the spread is off limits for me tonight, the total looks like a great over play tonight.

Phoenix has been averaging 105 points per game this season, and in their last five games that number jumps to 109 per game. While they haven’t been great on offense this year with a rookie and sophomore starting backcourt, the Suns haven’t been bad on either end of the floor, but their defense is giving up 103 points per game.

With Emmanuel Mudiay having to go against a very good backcourt tonight in Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight, I see a ton of turnovers for the young point guard tonight, which is going to lead to lots of extra turnovers. With the way Phoenix has been playing, I’m looking for a final score of about 110-102 tonight, so take the over as your first NBA pick tonight.

NBA Picks: OVER 206.5 at 5Dimes

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Bulls vs. Warriors
One of the final games of the evening is the Bulls taking their shot at trying to beat the undefeated Warriors, and the NBA odds have Golden State as a -8 ½ favorite at home coming off the back to back. If you remember last season, the Bulls were the team that handed the Warriors their first home loss of the season, and while they may not win this game outright like they did last season, as long as Derrick Rose plays, the Bulls look like great value ATS tonight at +8 ½.

While Golden State hasn’t been bad ATS this season, they have lost three of their last four games ATS, and it would have been four in a row last night if the Clippers didn’t completely choke away that win after being up by more than 20 points in the first half. Now coming off the back to back, against a much better defensive team than the Clippers, I see the Bulls covering this one. Chicago’s new offensive system is powerful enough to compete with the Dubs, so once we have confirmation of Rose being able to play tonight, look for the Bulls to keep this one within two or three possessions tonight.

NBA Picks: Bulls +8.5 at Bovada 

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