NBA Picks: Western Conference Finals Series Price

David Lawrence

Sunday, May 19, 2013 12:27 PM GMT

The Western Conference Finals begins today between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies.

NBA Betting: Grizzlies vs. Spurs Series Prices

The Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs are two teams left standing in the Western Conference, which means they’ll now fight for the right to get crushed by the Miami Heat in the NBA finals.

These teams are very familiar with each other as the Grizzlies upset the Spurs in six games two years ago when Memphis was the No. 8 seed and the Spurs were No. 1. Will we see a repeat of that in 2013?

The Memphis Grizzlies can win because ...

They’ve done it before. People making their NBA picks know that the Grizzlies already downed the Spurs when the Grizzlies were a rather green No. 8 seed and the Spurs were a No. 1 seed with the best record in the NBA. Since then, the Spurs have only gotten older while the Grizzlies have grown into a serious power player in the Western Conference. 

The Grizzlies are an excellent defensive team and they’ve now stymied two consecutive opponents. They are well coached, balanced and have depth. More importantly, they have younger legs than San Antonio. 

The Spurs have Tim Duncan but the Grizzlies have Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. Duncan will only be able to guard one of them and if he looks old or if he gets into foul trouble, the Spurs are done. 

Memphis has already downed the Spurs once more without having home-court advantage. The gap between the two teams has closed, which means we should expect them to do it again. 

The San Antonio Spurs can win because … 

The Grizzlies track record can be questioned. When you look at what Memphis has accomplished this postseason, it’s hard to be impressed. They downed a Los Angeles Clippers team that was without a healthy Blake Griffin and an Oklahoma City Thunder team that was without Russell Westbrook. The Spurs are healthy and deep, and they’ll be a far bigger challenge for Memphis.

The Spurs did have trouble with the Golden State Warriors in Round 2 but that’s because they’re a strong perimeter team. The Grizzlies strengths lie inside and we already saw what the Spurs can do with a team like that: they mopped the floor with Dwight Howard, Pau Gasol and the Los Angeles Lakers in Round 1. Unless the Grizzlies find some consistent perimeter shooting, the Spurs are going to advance here.

[gameodds]5/236518/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Outlook & Pick

The Grizzlies offer great value here on the NBA odds. Two years ago, they were just coming into their own. Now they are a developed team as players like Mike Conley and Marc Gasol have grown into franchise cornerstones. Meanwhile, the Spurs are a couple of years older and we have already seen some of their age show in the first two rounds.

This appears to be great value for the Grizzlies. They are very confident and capable right now. The Spurs struggles with Golden State are somewhat alarming – especially when you consider David Lee was a non-factor. The Grizzlies are going to pound the Spurs inside and eventually grind out a six-game series win.

Pick: Grizzlies in 6 at Bet365