NBA Picks: Wednesday Value Picks

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 12:31 PM GMT

Free NBA Basketball picks for a few of Wednesday's biggest games. Find out where our handicappers believe that the best value lies for NBA bettors tonight.


Wednesday gives us a full night of NBA action, as 28 of the league’s 30 teams are in action. With so many games on offer, the value should be outstanding tonight, and I have identified three NBA picks that should make their way on to each of our betting tickets tonight.

Celtics vs. Cavs

The Celtics played last night and with all the injuries, they looked pretty bad as the Knicks blew them away. The Celtics only mustered up 85 points, and the NBA odds makers have opened them as -2 ½ favorites tonight in Cleveland, with a total of 194. Even though they couldn’t score last night on the Knicks, tonight should be a different story. 

Cleveland is giving up 101 points per game at home this season, and they have been getting worse as the season wears on. In their last 13 games, the Cavs have given up an average of 103 points per game.

Looking at the betting options on the table, I believe that the total holds the best betting value

Even though the Cavs are missing their two star guards still, and the Celtics are without Garnett and Rondo, I still love the ‘over’ in this one. With small lineups for both teams, this game should be a fast paced one with plenty of scoring. I expect a game at or very close to 200 points tonight, so take the ‘over’. 

My NBA Pick: OVER 194

[gameodds]5/222919/43/us[/gameodds] 

Magic vs. Bobcats 

Just because these two teams are awful doesn’t mean that we can’t find any value for our sports picks in this situation. The Magic are going to once again be without their best two players as Aaron Afflalo is out for the season and Nikola Vucevic is not ready to return. That is going to put a hug strain on the scoring here tonight. 

On the Cats’ side, even though they are at home, I think that the sportsbooks are overvaluing the total here tonight. At an even 200 points I think the under is the play. The under cashed at 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Charlotte and even though these two regularly give up 100 points to their opponents, against one another, I can’t see this game getting out of the low to mid 90s. Take the under.

My NBA Pick: UNDER 200

[gameodds]5/222918/43/us[/gameodds]

Nets vs. Blazers

The Blazers are slight -1 ½ favorites tonight, but I’m siding with the total once again, and the NBA Odds are giving us 194 in this one. Portland is one of the best teams at scoring at home versus on the road, as they are averaging over 100 points per game at home this season. Portland just returned from a long road trip while the Nets are on one, and I think that is making them tired.

The Nets are solid defensively on the road, but being tired and going into the Rose Garden is going to make this total go over tonight. Brooklyn does only give up 94 points per game on the road this season, but they have also given up over 97 points per game to Western Conference teams this season.

With both teams tired, I expect the over to cash for NBA bettors tonight. The Blazers are giving up about 98 points per game to Eastern Conference opponents and it could be more tonight.

My NBA Pick: OVER 194 

[gameodds]5/222929/43/us[/gameodds]