NBA Picks: Wednesday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 11:57 AM GMT

Wednesday, May. 15, 2013 11:57 AM GMT

Free NBA picks for both of Wednesday's playoff matchups. Have the NBA odds makers left us any value on the boards tonight, or will we have to dig deep to find the best options.

Wednesday’s NBA action has a pair of potential closeout games slated, featuring Game 5 affairs in both conferences. The Miami Heat are listed as heavy home ‘chalk’ against the Chicago Bulls, while the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder shift back to the “Sooner State.”

The NBA Odds are hot off the press, so let’s see if we can make some money with our NBA picks on each of tonight's games.

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat 

Miami notched its third straight win in Game 4’s 88-65 victory over Chicago, collecting as a 7 ½-point road favorite. The Heat allowed a stingy 25.7 percent night of field shooting, including a sparse 2-for-17 mark from three-point land. 

Heat forward LeBron James finished with 27 points and eight assists, while uniting with frontcourt mate Udonis Haslem for seven boards each. Chicago’s Carlos Boozer logged his first double-double of the series, putting up 14 points en route to grabbing 12 rebounds. 

The lopsided affair’s combined 153 points plunged below the ‘total’ of 185, moving the UNDER to 2-2 for the series. Chicago edged out the Heat in rebounds, 46-36, while being outscored in paint points, 36-20. 

NBA odds opened Miami as a 14-point home favorite for Game 5, while first listing the ‘total’ at 183. Early wagers on the Heat and UNDER shifted the numbers to 14 ½ and 182, respectively. 

I am backing the Bulls as dogs here, feeling the pointspread has been set a bit too high by sportsbooks

Chicago split the series’ first two games in Miami, with the loss of the pair coming in a stretch of playing a third postseason road game in five days. The Bulls have continued coming up short since then, but should look for a harder-fought cover here in what could be their season’s final matchup. 

Pick:  Chicago Bulls +14 ½ at Pinnacle Sports

[gameodds]5/235976/43/us[/gameodds]

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder 

Memphis erased a 17-point deficit in Monday’s Game 4 against the Thunder, coming away with a 103-97 overtime win as a five-point home favorite. The Grizzlies prevailed despite being held to 40.4 percent field shooting and allowing Oklahoma City to connect 9-of-20 buckets beyond the arc. 

Grizzlies guard Mike Conley notched a team-high 24 points, while adding five assists and four steals. Oklahoma City’s Kevin Durant and Serge Ibaka piled in a combined 44 points, with Ibaka adding 14 boards.

The battle did not need its extra minutes for OVER backers to collect, with the 188 points in regulation leaping above the ‘total’ of 185. Oklahoma City blanked the Grizzlies in fast break points, 12-0, while edging out Conley and Co. in rebounds, 44-41.

Bet365 first listed Oklahoma City as 3 ½-point home ‘chalk’ for Game 5, with early wagers on the Thunder driving the number north a ‘hook’ to four. The ‘total’ was first listed at 185, remaining unchanged in mixed betting action.

I am adding Memphis to my free picks in this spot, sensing the series has stayed too tight to be laying points with either cliub. The Grizzlies are riding a 9-0 ATS streak coming into this affair, including four cashed tickets in that span as underdogs. 

Memphis held the Thunder to 93 PPG in the series’ first two matchups at Chesapeake Energy Arena, moving to a 5-1 ATS mark in its last six visits to OKC’s floor. The Thunder have a 2-5 spread record in their last seven spots that came after allowing 100 points or more, with another losing ticket looming here.

Pick:  Memphis Grizzlies +4 at Bet365

[gameodds]5/235977/43/us[/gameodds]
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