NBA Picks: Wednesday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Wednesday, May 8, 2013 11:48 AM GMT

Wednesday’s NBA Playoff slate has a pair of Game 2 affairs, with both favorites returning to action after failing to cash in their respective openers. Where can we find the value with our NBA picks tonight?

The Miami Heat look to roar back after being upset by the Chicago Bulls in Game 1, while the Golden State Warriors hope to stay close again as road dogs against the San Antonio Spurs.

What are the best options for our NBA picks tonight, and where can we find the best lines on offer?

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls

Chicago came away with a 93-86 victory in Monday’s first matchup with the Heat, pulling off a shocker as a 12 ½-point road dog. The Bulls held Miami to 39.7 percent field shooting, outscoring their rivals in the fourth quarter, 35-24.

Chicago’s Jimmy Butler and Joakim Noah each notched a double-double, uniting to finish with 34 points and 25 boards. Bulls guard Nate Robinson logged nine assists, while drilling 3-of-8 shots beyond the arc. 

Heat forward LeBron James put up a team-high 24 points, while he and his mates went 17-for-25 at the foul line. Miami’s Chris Bosh and Chris Andersen combined for five blocks, with the Heat edged out in rebounds, 46-32. 

The battle’s 179 points dipped below the ‘total’ of 188, moving the UNDER to 4-1-2 in Miami’s last seven games. Chicago’s Luol Deng (16.5 PPG) and Kirk Hinrich (5.2 APG) both missed the contest with injuries and are again ‘doubful’ to play in Wednesday’s rematch. 

Miami opened as a 12-point favorite for Game 2 at Bookmaker.eu, with early wagers on Erik Spoelstra’s squad lifting the number to 12 ½. The ‘total’ was first set at 187, initially remaining unchanged. 

I am laying the big ‘chalk’ here, backing Miami minus the points. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last six affairs that came after a defeat, while Miami’s Chris Bosh and Ray Allen should improve after being held to a combined 5-for-17 from the floor in Game 1, which should show some improvement here. 

Chicago has to answer the bell here for a third road game in five days, setting up a spot of hitting the wall for a sizable defeat. Look for the Bulls to mail it in here, satisfied enough with stealing home-court advantage after its unexpected Game 1 win. 

Free Pick:  Miami Heat -12 ½ at Bookmaker

[gameodds]5/228703/43/us[/gameodds]

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs 

Golden State nearly pulled off its own Game 1 upset against San Antonio, falling short in a 129-127 overtime defeat. The Warriors blew an 18-point lead, while holding on to cash as nine-point road dogs. 

Spurs guard Tony Parker piled in 28 points, shooting 11-of-26 from the floor. San Antonio’s Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard united for 20 rebounds, while mate Danny Green logged three of his side’s nine steals. 

Golden State’s Stephen Curry notched a postseason-high 44 points, while adding 11 assists in 58 minutes of action. Warriors center Andrew Bogut grabbed 15 boards, leading his club to outrebound the Spurs, 55-45.

The NBA odds opened San Antonio as an eight-point favorite for Game 2, while first setting the ‘total’ at 205. Early NBA betting action on the Warriors and UNDER drove the numbers south to 7 ½ and 204 ½. 

I am adding a ticket on Golden State to my sports picks, as I expect them to stay on their hot 10-0 ATS run.

The Warriors should have more left in the tank than San Antonio after Monday’s lengthy battle, with the contest’s cashed ticket moving Curry and Co. to a 4-1 spread record in its five meetings with the Spurs this year. San Antonio is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine games that came after scoring 100 points or more, while the Spurs remain overvalued with a 3-8 spread mark in their last 11 home dates. 

Free Pick:  Golden State Warriors +7 ½ at 5Dimes

[gameodds]5/228529/43/us[/gameodds]