There are three games on tap for tonight, but I have selected two free picks that I am counting on to cash for us tonight.
Rockets vs. Thunder
The Rockets got beat by almost 30 points in Game 1, and now they get a second shot at stealing a win in Oklahoma City. The NBA Odds for this one favor the Thunder at -11 with a total of 212.
The total slipped under in Game 1 due to the lack of scoring from the Rockets, but I don’t see that happening once again here in this game. The Rockets just had some playoff jitters, and I don’t see the OKC defense playing as well either.
The over has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, and I think it gets back to that side of the total here tonight. The over has also cashed in five of the last seven games between these two in Oklahoma City.
All in all, I am putting a one-unit value bet on the over. The average score between these two in their last ten meetings against one another is 112-101, which would make a play on the total seem like the best choice.
My NBA Pick: OVER 212
Lakers vs. Spurs
The Lakers get a second chance at a victory in San Antonio tonight, and the NBA Odds have them as +8 ½ road underdogs, with a total of 186 points. Game 1 was a very low scoring affair, and I think the books are overcorrecting the total here, which was five or six points higher in Game 1.
With that, I see the over as great value here tonight. Both of these teams averaged over 102 points per game in the regular season, and I see a more up-tempo style of play tonight after the defensive showdown in Game 1.
The Lakers were a good bet in the regular season for the over, and I see them being that way once again here tonight. I’m looking for a 104-96 game here tonight, making the over the best choice for your NBA Picks.
My NBA Pick: OVER 186[gameodds]5/226787/43/us[/gameodds]