NBA Picks: Washington (+4) to Step Up Their Game Against Spurs

Charles Stark

Wednesday, November 4, 2015 2:23 PM GMT

For Wednesday's NBA action the Wizards are a small home underdog against the Spurs but I like them in this spot to take this game to the wire or to pull off the upset.

NBA Odds
Odds makers have made the Spurs a -4 favorite which makes sense just looking at these teams one common opponent, the Knicks.  Washington lost to the Knicks at home while the Spurs handled them in New York, but a reminder about that loss, the Wizards were coming off a back to back for their first home game of the year.  They didn't play well and I like them to bounce back from that so for one of my NBA picks of the day I will take them at +4.  You can still get good odds on them like at Pinnacle getting the points at -106.

 

San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs come in averaging 99.2 points per game, shooting 46.9% from the floor, and 33.3% from beyond the arc.  They are one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA ranking fourth in field goals made per game (40) along with those solid percentages.  It seems offensively though they have not pushed the pace very much so far this season ranking 29th in fast break points, but more so working the interior, ranking 7th in points in the paint.

Defensively San Antonio is allowing 89.5 points per game, 40% shooting from the field, and 28.6% from beyond the arc. Looking at their fast break points on offense it makes sense that they are number one in the league defensively in fast break points allowed.  They have some nice defensive concepts they work out of that are similar to the pack line defense of Terry Bennett at Virginia and Brad Stevens.  Cut off driving lanes, get a hand in the face, and get back in transition.  It is solid, and when executed right, hard to put up bunches of points against.  Simply put, they play great fundamental defense.

 

Washington Wizards
The Wizards are averaging 105.3 points per game, shooting 43.8% from the field, and 35.2% from distance.  Their last two games have been pretty up-tempo versus the Bucks and the Knicks, but I don't look for that same type of track meet tonight.  Washington has excelled at getting into transition ranking second in the NBA in fast break points.  This fact will make for an interesting matchup with the Spurs who have been stopping those type of buckets.  With John Wall and Bradley Beal leading the way I think the Wizards have the advantage at the guard position. 

Defensively Washington is allowing 105.7 points per game, 44.8% shooting from the field, and 30.4% shooting from distance.  They will have to do a better job on this end if they plan to stay with the Spurs.  Marcin Gortat, in my opinion, will have to play very solid in the interior to limit San Antonio's points in the paint.  I believe the Wizards are a better defensive team than they have show so far  this year and should be amped up tonight against one of the league's premier teams.

Good matchup of opposing strengths.  I am a big fan of Greg Popovich but I think the Wizards will be very tough tonight.  For one of your NBA picks I recommend taking the points with Washington and watch this game go down to the final shot.

NBA Picks: Washington Wizards +4 (-105) at 5Dimes