NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Thunder

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, February 6, 2013 3:02 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013 3:02 PM GMT

The Golden State Warriors aren’t likely to solve their defensive woes from last night against the Oklahoma City Thunder, as the two teams meet at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Where are we placing our NBA picks in this matchup?


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds in what figures to be one of the more exciting games on Wednesday night’s NBA schedule.

Burial

Golden State suffered a 140-109 blowout defeat to the Houston Rockets as 2.5-point road underdogs last night, while going OVER the total for the sixth time in seven contests. The Warriors surrendered a league record-tying 23 3-pointers, which could be a problem in this affair, with the Thunder pacing all teams in shooting 43.6 percent from beyond the arc at home. 

It’s still important to note that this franchise has covered the spread in 20 of its last 27 games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game.

Alternate world

Oklahoma City has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games, as it comes off an impressive 112-91 victory over the Dallas Mavericks as 8.5-point home favorites Monday night, while going UNDER the posted total of 210. The Thunder have compiled a 21-7 straight up and 17-10-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record after scoring 105 points or more.

Great chance of gaining revenge 

NBA handicappers shouldn’t be surprised that the Thunder are laying double digits, as they’ve gone 49-28 ATS when revenging a loss versus an opponent since the 2010-11 campaign. Oklahoma City was handed a 104-99 loss to Golden State as 1.5-point road favorites on Jan. 23, while going UNDER the posted total of 208.

The Thunder have won seven straight home games in this series, with the OVER cashing in four of the last five games in that situation.

Durantula

Kevin Durant leads the NBA in scoring, and probably wishes that he played the Warriors more often. The All-Star forward has averaged 30.7 points during his career in this series, which is his highest mark versus any team that he’s played nine or more times. Durant and Russell Westbrook form the league’s highest scoring duo, averaging 52.0 points per game.

[gameodds]5/217297/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks Wednesday night, as the Warriors have gone OVER the total in all eight of their opportunities when closing out a back-to-back situation on the road this year. The Thunder will move to 13-3 when playing at home with a total of 210 or higher over the last two-plus seasons.

NBA Pick: Over 211.5 at 5Dimes

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