San Antonio has been undervalued for most of the season, but they have been finally evening out recently, so is nine points too many or not enough tonight against Golden State?
The Spurs are -9 favorites on most NBA odds boards with a total of 203. Both times these two have faced one another this season (both times from Oakland) Golden State has covered despite not getting the win SU. They have a chance to do it again tonight in Texas, as the Spurs will of course still be without their star point guard, Tony Parker.
Because of that, I think Stephen Curry will have a monster of a game tonight. He has already been playing lights out this season and even more recently, but with no one to stay in front of him tonight for the Spurs, I think it will be just enough for the Warriors to cover once again.
The Spurs are only 8-10-2 ATS at home this season against Western Conference teams. Against East teams is another story, but overall against the West this season, the Spurs are only 17-21-2 ATS. San Antonio is just a few points overvalued tonight and I’m taking the points. Andrew Bogut will do his part is slowing down Tim Duncan tonight, and the rest of the Warriors should be enough to keep them in the game.
The over might not be a bad play here either, but just in case we have a slow game with not a lot of scoring, that will play right into the hands of the Warriors taking points. Either way, I think the Warriors have enough on offense and defense to take care of business.
My NBA Pick: Warriors +9 & Over 203
Also take a look at my NBA Picks of the Day article for more free plays.