NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Spurs Game 2

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 8, 2013 11:20 AM GMT

Wednesday, May. 8, 2013 11:20 AM GMT

The San Antonio Spurs missed eight of their first nine shots in their series opener against the Golden State Warriors, but a different start may be in the offering Wednesday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 2 of this Western Conference semifinal series at the AT&T Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Double overtime 

Golden State was unable to secure a 16-point lead with four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter Monday night, as it suffered a 129-127 double overtime loss as nine-point road underdogs in Game 1, while going well OVER the betting total of 202.5. 

The Warriors are 16-11 straight up (SU) and 17-9-1 against the spread (ATS) after allowing 105 points or more, while the OVER is 16-11 in that situation. 

Be careful

San Antonio showed major signs of rust after not playing for a week after finishing off a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers in the quarterfinals, which could lead to a much sharper performance in this affair. 

Spurs forward Tim Duncan was also battling flu-like symptoms, which limited him to just 34 minutes of action, but he still finished with 19 points and 11 rebounds.  He’s listed as probable on the team’s injury report. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Spurs are 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS when leading in a playoff series, with the UNDER going 7-5 in those 12 opportunities.

Encore performance? 

I’m having a hard time imagining Warriors point guard Stephen Curry going off for 30-plus points in Game 2, as he finished with 44 points on 18 of 35 shooting from the floor in the series opener, while nearly playing 58 minutes.

NBA handicappers should take a long look at playing the UNDER in any point offerings that may be available in the betting market Wednesday, as Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will scheme to get the ball out of his hands.

1997

The Warriors haven’t won in San Antonio since Feb. 14, 1997—when Duncan was a senior in college at Wake Forest.  Golden State is 6-11 SU and 11-6 ATS as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points, while San Antonio has won 38 of its last 42 tries when favored within the same point range in front of its fans.

[gameodds]5/228529/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs in the first half as one of their NBA picks Wednesday, as they’ve enjoyed tremendous success in Game 2’s under Popovich’s direction, especially after a rusty performance in series openers after a long layoff.

NBA Pick:  San Antonio Spurs -4 First Half at BetOnline

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