NBA Picks for Warriors vs. Rockets Game 3

Nikki Adams

Saturday, May 23, 2015 4:27 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 23, 2015 4:27 PM GMT

The Golden State Warriors look to take a commanding 3-0 series lead when they descend on the Houston Rockets tonight. Will the Warriors come through on their favourable NBA odds?

Warriors Lead 2-0
Only two wins separate the Golden State Warriors from their first NBA Finals appearance since 1975; that's a heady thought as they get set for game 3, with the series shifting to Houston all while taking a 2-0 lead and entering NBA betting markets as the clear-cut favourites.

Matched at -120 NBA odds to win straight up and as the nominal 1-point faves on the NBA odds board as game time approaches, it would seem the Warriors are the popular NBA pick to win outright tonight. A notion that is furthered along by the NBA line moves that have occurred since open doors. The Warriors opened as the 1.5-point underdogs before the public bet them up over the fence.

Despite this favourable outlook the Rockets are not a side to take lightly. They may not be displaying the best form in the NBA playoffs, but they are proving to be a dogged side that won't go away very easily. LA Clippers can attest to that. They were up 3-1 over the Rockets before they stormed back to clinch the series and move into the Western Conference finals.
 

 

Series Shifts To Houston, Can Rockets Capitalise?
Houston Rockets put a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark in the NBA playoffs on the line when they welcome the Warriors in Houston. To date, the only home game they dropped was the opening game in the Western Conference semi-finals, a 117-101 loss to the Clippers all while trading as the 8-point home chalk. Since that wobble, the Rockets haven't lost a home game and closed the series with the Clippers behind a three-game winning streak.

That streak was snapped in Oakland, obviously. Then again the Warriors have a stellar home record, so it's perhaps to be expected. In the semis, the Rockets snapped a two-game losing streak to the Clippers with a big 124-103 win at home, all while chalked as the 3-point home underdogs. They'll be looking to pull off a similar feat tonight as the 1-point home underdogs and, at the same time, matched at +100 NBA odds to win outright.
 

Must Read: Warriors-Rockets Hottest ATS & O/U Plays for Game 3

NBA Betting Verdict
The Warriors are in an enviable position with a 2-0 lead in this series and the cusp of going 3-0, but winning on the road isn't going to be straightforward, as evinced by the tight NBA betting line. They may be the favourites, but at -120 NBA odds they aren't the runaway favourites per se. That's a lot to do with their fallibility on the road as well as Houston's solid home form in the postseason.

This is a must-win game for the Rockets if they hope to stand a chance of reaching the NBA Finals. No team has come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA playoffs, so a defeat at home tonight would almost certainly spell doom (or will it? NBA betting trends can change. Just because it never happened doesn't mean it never will). In any event, the Rockets have had their backs up against the wall before, only to deliver in a big way. We don't think the Rockets are done yet, so take them as the value NBA pick at +100 to win outright and the 1-point home pups to cover.

NBA Picks: Rockets +100 to win & cover at The Greek

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