NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Pacers

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:12 PM GMT

Tuesday, Feb. 26, 2013 1:12 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the pro basketball odds for the non-conference matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Indiana Pacers. Does the total hold any value for our NBA picks, or is the money to be found in betting the spread?


The Golden State Warriors have won three games in a row, but that streak will likely come to an end against the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse Tuesday night. What do the NBA odds makers have to say about this matchup?

Streaking

Golden State has won its last three games since suffering through a season-worst six-game losing streak, including a 100-99 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves as two-point road favorites Sunday, while going UNDER the total for a second consecutive contest.

The Warriors are 4-6 straight up (SU) and 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in the month of February, with the OVER going 7-3 in that span.

Rolling along

Indiana also rides in on a multi-game winning streak, as it won its fourth game in a row by coming away with a 90-72 victory over the Detroit Pistons as five-point road favorites last time out, while going UNDER the posted total of 188.

The Pacers have captured eight of their 10 games this month in SU and ATS fashion, with the OVER going 6-4 in that situation.

Road woes...recently

NBA handicappers may have an interested in backing the Warriors at this type of number on the SBR odds page, considering they’ve gone 8-3 on the road against Eastern Conference opponents during the 2012-13 campaign.

I’m not going to join in on the party, with Golden State dropping five of its last six road games—failing to cover the spread by an average of 12.2 points per game in those setbacks.

Home-court advantage

The Pacers have certainly performed well at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season, as they enter with a dominating 23-5 home record, including an 8-2 mark when taking on Western Conference opponents.

In its last 11 home games in this particular series, Indiana has gone 10-1 SUATS in that span, while the OVER is 15-7 in the last 22 overall meetings.

[gameodds]5/219512/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Pacers as one of their NBA picks against the spread Tuesday night, as the Warriors have gone 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a winning home record. 

NBA Pick:  Indiana Pacers -8 at Pinnacle

Also be sure to check out my Free NBA Picks for the Kings & Heat matchup.
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