The Golden State Warriors have played a lot of basketball since the All-Star break, which may catch up to them against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden Wednesday night. Let's breakdown the lines and decide where the best value lies for our NBA picks tonight.
Slipping up on the road
Golden State has dropped six of its last seven games away from the Bay Area, including a 108-97 decision as 8.5-point underdogs Tuesday, while going OVER the posted total of 196.5.
The Warriors are now 0-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last six road games versus teams with a winning home record, which doesn’t bode well with the Knicks coming in with a 20-8 home mark.
New York did manage to end a four-game losing streak by picking up a 99-93 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers as 11-point home favorites last time out, but the squad is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven contests.
The Knicks are 5-5 straight and 3-6-1 ATS in the month of February, with the UNDER going 6-4 in that span.
Dangerous road underdogs?
When looking over the live NBA odds, the Warriors are going to be one of the more attractive underdog options out there, considering they’ve won 15 of their last 19 meetings with the Knicks, but I’m not interested in backing them due to this being their sixth game since Feb. 19.
It’s still important to note that Golden State has covered the number in five of its last six games versus New York, while the underdog is enjoying a 4-1 ATS run.
Defensive-minded at home
NBA handicappers will certainly notice that the Knicks are a much better team defensively in front of their home fans, as they allow just 94.6 points per game in the Big Apple.
In four home games with a betting total between 205 and 209.5 points, New York has slipped below the number three times, with the only OVER coming in one of its worst situational spots of the year—finishing out a back-to-back situation after playing road games versus the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat.
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total in this affair, as the early line movement is significant in my opinion, considering nearly every wager has come in on the OVER in the early going.NBA Pick: Under 207 at Pinnacle