NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Cavaliers

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, January 29, 2013 2:53 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2013 2:53 PM GMT

Will the Golden State Warriors sweep their back-to-back- road games, or will the Cleveland Cavaliers push their winning streak to four games? Our NBA picks for this matchup will beat the odds tonight and help you punch a winning ticket at the betting window.

NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Cavaliers

The streaking Cleveland Cavaliers (13-32 SU, 6-12 ATS home) welcome in the Golden State Warriors (27-17 SU, 13-9 ATS away), a team that has covered the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games played on the road.

This NBA matchup is set to tip off at 7:05 PM EST from the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland and can be seen live on television, with broadcast coverage provided by Fox Sports Ohio.

As it stands right now, the NBA odds across the board for this contest are showing the visiting Golden State Warriors as slim -1 ½ point road favorites, which is good news for bettors backing the bay area team, as they have produced an 11-7 record thus far this season when listed as favorites.

The sportsboooks are also in agreement that this matchup will be a high scoring one, which explains why the over/under total is coming in at 206 points. Both teams are near the bottom of the league in points against, giving up near the century mark each game, so with very little defense expected, this game could get out of control in a hurry.

Join me as I breakdown this matchup and provide you with my free sports picks for this game.

[gameodds]5/141782/43/us[/gameodds]

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors were happy to welcome back Andrew Bogut last night, who missed 38 games, but it didn’t last long as oft-injured Stephen Curry went down in the 3rd quarter, injuring his ankle yet again. Curry is now listed as day-to-day.

The Warriors will be playing on the road for the second time in as many nights, as they visit Cleveland for the tail end of a back-to-back, though they cruised to a victory and point spread cover in their matchup last night against the Raptors, winning by a score of 114-102 as -2 point favorites.

Golden State features an offense that averages 100.7 points per game, which justifies why they are “over” in four consecutive games played on the road and five of six overall.

They have been a favorable for bettors against the spread lately, producing five covers in their last seven games overall and 13 of 19 versus Eastern Conference opponents.

Golden State has also had tremendous success against the betting number versus the Cavaliers, covering the point spread in their last seven matchups overall.

Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cavaliers come into play tonight riding a three-game winning streak, and they are doing it behind point guard Kyrie Irving, who will attempt to reach the 30-point plateau for a fourth consecutive game tonight against the Warriors.

While the Cavaliers may have won three in a row and covered the point spread in four of their last six, we cannot lose sight of the fact they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 matchups versus teams from the Western Conference and 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games on their home floor. Furthermore, Cleveland is just 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games that follows an ATS win.

However, Cleveland is playing on two day’s rest and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven in that scenario, while also going “over” 19 of 26 contests in that same situation.

The Pick

Even though Cleveland is a hot a team right now and this game is on their home floor, the fact remains they are still a last place team that has only managed 13 straight up wins in 45 games.

Meanwhile, Golden State has proven they aren’t a pushover team anymore and should not be taken lightly. They are a better road team than Cleveland is at home, both straight up and against the spread; and while there is uncertainly about Curry being in the lineup, the Warriors are still the right choice for your NBA picks in this contest, as they should easily cover the -1 ½ point spread.

NBA Picks: Warriors -1 ½
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