NBA Picks for Warriors vs. Cavaliers Game 4

Nikki Adams

Thursday, June 11, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 11, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Can the Golden State Warriors draw level in game 4 of the NBA Finals? Find out as we preview the NBA odds and serve up our NBA picks.

Golden State Warriors Trail 1-2
The Golden State Warriors are down 1-2 in the NBA Finals, having lost two in a row since the opening 108-100 win at the Oracle Arena. Yet, odds makers tip the Warriors as the marginal favourites at -140 NBA odds to win game 4. Do the bookies have it right or are they merely being optimistic?

In the first game of the series, the Warriors burst out of the gates with a verve and swagger in a raucous Oracle Arena and to take the opening win and cover as the 6-point home chalk. The score also pushed the total over the 204 closing mark. The Cleveland Cavaliers, however, turned the tables on the Warriors to win game 2 and cover as the 7.5-point road pups. Most significantly, the 95-93 win saw the UNDER 199 cash in total betting, marking a decisive shift in the matchup and game planning.

With the series level 1-1 and headed to Cleveland, the Warriors once again emerged as the favourites to win on the NBA odds board. Books opened with a 2.5-point line with the Warriors to the good immediately after game 2, but the NBA line briefly dipped down to 1 before settling on 2-points at closing doors.

Once again though the Warriors were thwarted by the resilient Cavs. Well, more specifically, by the Chosen One, who delivered another 40-point account to lead the Cavs to the thrilling 96-91 win.

 

Cavs Have Momentum
Since game 1, the Cavs have taken the NBA Finals by the scruff of its neck and wrestled it away from the Warriors. However, bookies aren't buying what they are selling. Sending the Cavs into game 4 as the +120 home underdogs on the NBA odds board.

The Cavs won back-to-back games with grit and determination. Arguably, the most important win wasn't the win at the Oracle that handed the Warriors only the fourth home loss all season long and second in the postseason, albeit it did take the wind out of the mighty Warriors' sails a bit. Backing it up as the home underdogs in game 3 was pivotal, especially as Stephen Curry looked to be finding his form late Tuesday night and very nearly drew the Warriors level on the scoreboard.

In the fourth quarter, Curry reeled off 17 points and shot a superb 7-of-13 from beyond the arc. To some extent, Curry's resurgence in game 3 partly explains why the Warriors are the favourites in game 4 despite being on the road. The notion is that it could become a catalyst for the Warriors stealing back the series in Cleveland tonight.

There's also previous experience in these playoffs when, in the Western Conference semi-finals, they were down 1-2 to the Memphis Grizzlies after losing two straight only to bounce back in splendid fashion and clinch the series.  So the idea is that the Warriors may be down but not out. And it seems the public agrees as they are heavily backing the Warriors to win game.

Must Read: Compare all Cavaliers-Warriors Series prop bets in one place

NBA Betting Verdict:
There's ample evidence that the Warriors have the ability to bounce back in this series and take the win in game 4 in Cleveland. However, LeBron James, the so-called Chosen One, is playing like a possessed man. He's taken his side to within two wins of the NBA Championships and with a home game to build the lead to 3-1 we're not keen on betting against the Warriors. Put this way, at +120 NBA odds, a Cavaliers win at home is just too good to pass on for our NBA picks with the sort of momentum they have going.

NBA Picks: Take the Cavs at +125 to win SU at BetOnline

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