NBA Picks: Warriors Out For Revenge, Lay The Chalk Against Bucks

Steven Suarez

Friday, December 18, 2015 2:42 PM GMT

This one could get ugly. Out for revenge after getting handed their first loss of the season by these same Bucks, we can expect a highly motivated Warriors, are they our NBA pick tonight?

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NBA Pick: Warriors -19 
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

 

Odds Overview
The Warriors, with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson leading the way, are humungous favorites on the NBA odds board, which shouldn't surprise anyone. After all, they'll be at home and facing a Milwaukee team that just beat them to ruin their perfect start to the season.

So, just how bad is the damage? If you want to back Golden State tonight, you're going to have to take on a ton of chalk, as the home team is favored by a staggering 19 points acrosss the top online sportsbooks. Some sites are even going as high as 19.5 points, while the total can be pinned down at 210.5 points as of now.

 

Golden State Warriors
After seeing their incredible perfect season come to an end in Milwaukee, the Warriors immediately responded by crushing Phoenix 128-103 at home on Wednesday. 

Typically it's Stephen Curry that's lighting it up for Golden State, and while he did just fine (25 points on a very efficient 10-of-14 from the floor), it was Klay Thompson that took over in the win over the Suns. He exploded for 28 points in the third quarter and ended up with 43 points on 15-of-22 shooting overall and 8-of-13 from beyond the arc. As a team, the Warriors shot over 52 percent from the field in the 25-point victory.

Now at 25-1 on the season, Golden State keeps chugging along, and we can expect more of the same this evening. These Warriors have still yet to lose at home, and they haven't even been tested really -- don't look for that to change inside Oracle Arena versus Milwaukee.

 

Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks haven't been able to keep momentum high following that emotional win over Golden State, as they've lost each of their last two games. They lost by 18 on the road against the Lakers and then were on the losing end of a 103-90 final score against the Clippers, with the trip to Los Angeles not exactly going as coach Jason Kidd would have liked.

Not having Greg Monroe available is a blow of course, as he's been the team's best big man thus far. Miles Plumlee has been starting in his place, with John Henson getting extra run, but the Bucks haven't been able to cope all that well in his absence. Monroe is currently listed as doubtful for tonight's contest, so it looks like Milwaukee will be vastly outmatched inside once again.

The good news for the Bucks is they're at least getting much better production out of Michael Carter-Williams, who's been getting much more run and making the most of it lately. He'll need to be at his very very best up against Curry and company this evening, however.

 

NBA Pick
We briefly considered the thought of backing the Bucks, considering they've already proven they can beat this elite Warriors team.

But, we didn't consider it long. It's going to be very difficult to fade the Warriors on any given night, and that's particularly true in this matchup. Vengeance will be on the minds of the Warriors, and we know they have the personnel to rip this Milwaukee team, one that's without its best big man in Monroe, to shreds.

We realize it's a ton of points and that many aren't going to want to lay that kind of number, but we'll embrace that fear and back Golden State to cover. The Warriors' bench should keep the pressure on Milwaukee and extend what should be an early lead for the home team, so we're not as worried about the prospects of a backdoor cover. Let's back the best team in the league on this occasion as our NBA pick.